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PNCINFRA - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.2

Last Updated Time : 17 Jan 26, 11:52 am

Technical Rating: 3.2

Stock Code PNCINFRA Market Cap 6,015 Cr. Current Price 235 ₹ High / Low 332 ₹
Stock P/E 16.4 Book Value 219 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.25 % ROCE 18.2 %
ROE 13.5 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 256 ₹ DMA 200 285 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.04 % Chg in DII Hold -0.29 % PAT Qtr 82.4 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 80.8 Cr.
RSI 34.8 MACD -4.61 Volume 2,46,396 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,90,290
Low price 234 ₹ High price 332 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.01 Debt to equity 0.14
52w Index 0.82 % Qtr Profit Var 1.82 % EPS 14.4 ₹ Industry PE 17.6

📊 Chart Patterns: PNCINFRA is trading below both its 50 DMA (256 ₹) and 200 DMA (285 ₹), showing bearish undertone. Price action suggests weakness with support near 234 ₹ and resistance around 255–260 ₹.

📈 Moving Averages: Current price (235 ₹) below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA → bearish alignment.

📉 RSI: 34.8 → Near oversold zone, potential for short-term rebound.

📉 MACD: -4.61 → Bearish crossover, momentum weak.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, suggesting oversold condition and possible mean reversion.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (2,46,396) > Avg 1Wk volume (1,90,290) → higher participation, indicating selling pressure but also possible accumulation.

🚀 Momentum Signals: Oversold RSI + higher volume may trigger short-term bounce, but MACD weakness caps upside.

🎯 Entry Zone: 230–240 ₹ (near strong support).

🎯 Exit Zone: 255–265 ₹ (resistance near 50 DMA).

📌 Trend Status: Bearish trend with short-term rebound potential.


Positive

  • 💡 Healthy ROCE (18.2%) and ROE (13.5%) indicate decent efficiency.
  • 💡 Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.14) shows strong financial stability.
  • 💡 EPS of 14.4 ₹ supports valuation.

Limitation

  • ⚠️ Current price significantly below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA.
  • ⚠️ RSI near oversold but MACD remains negative.
  • ⚠️ Dividend yield low at 0.25%.

Company Negative News

  • 📉 FII holdings reduced slightly (-0.04%).
  • 📉 DII holdings also declined (-0.29%).

Company Positive News

  • 📈 Quarterly PAT improved marginally (82.4 Cr. vs 80.8 Cr.).
  • 📈 Stable earnings with positive profit variation (+1.82%).

Industry

  • 🏭 Industry PE at 17.6 vs stock PE 16.4 → fairly valued relative to peers.
  • 🏭 Infrastructure sector outlook supported by government spending and long-term demand drivers.

Conclusion

📌 PNCINFRA is currently in a bearish phase, trading below key moving averages with weak MACD. Entry around 230–240 ₹ offers favorable risk-reward, with exit near 255–265 ₹. Strong fundamentals (low debt, healthy ROCE/ROE) provide stability, but near-term technicals suggest cautious positioning until a breakout above 260–265 ₹ confirms reversal.

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