IRFC - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators
Back to ListTechnical Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | IRFC | Market Cap | 1,29,613 Cr. | Current Price | 99.2 ₹ | High / Low | 149 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 18.5 | Book Value | 43.4 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.12 % | ROCE | 5.64 % |
| ROE | 12.8 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 102 ₹ | DMA 200 | 113 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.18 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.35 % | PAT Qtr | 1,684 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 1,802 Cr. |
| RSI | 45.5 | MACD | -0.90 | Volume | 76,68,747 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 94,28,584 |
| Low price | 87.0 ₹ | High price | 149 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 5.41 | Debt to equity | 7.69 |
| 52w Index | 19.7 % | Qtr Profit Var | 0.15 % | EPS | 5.36 ₹ | Industry PE | 19.0 |
📉 IRFC is trading below both its 50 DMA (₹102) and 200 DMA (₹113), reflecting short-term and medium-term weakness. RSI at 45.5 indicates bearish undertones, while MACD is negative (-0.90), confirming downward bias. Bollinger Bands show price near the lower band, suggesting oversold conditions. Current volume (76.7 lakh) is below average (94.2 lakh), showing reduced participation.
🔑 Short-term momentum signals: Weak, with limited upside unless price reclaims ₹102–₹105 zone.
🎯 Entry Zone: ₹95–₹99 (support region)
🚪 Exit Zone: ₹110–₹115 (resistance region)
📊 Trend Status: Consolidating with bearish tilt
Positive
- Dividend yield of 2.12% provides steady income
- EPS at ₹5.36 supports valuation
- FII (+0.18%) and DII (+1.35%) holdings increased, showing institutional confidence
- PEG ratio at 5.41 highlights growth premium
- 52-week return of 19.7% shows investor interest
Limitation
- Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA
- RSI below 50 indicates weak momentum
- Negative MACD confirms bearish crossover
- High debt-to-equity ratio (7.69) raises leverage concerns
- ROCE (5.64%) remains modest
- Volume below average, limiting breakout potential
Company Negative News
- Quarterly PAT declined (₹1,802 Cr. → ₹1,684 Cr.)
- High leverage compared to peers
- Price struggling to sustain above long-term averages
Company Positive News
- Institutional inflows (FII +0.18%, DII +1.35%)
- Dividend yield of 2.12% adds investor confidence
- Stable EPS at ₹5.36
Industry
- Industry PE at 19.0 highlights sector trading at fair multiples
- Railway financing sector supported by infrastructure expansion and government initiatives
Conclusion
⚖️ IRFC shows weak technical momentum with RSI below 50 and negative MACD. Entry is favorable near ₹95–₹99 with profit booking around ₹110–₹115. Trend remains consolidative with bearish tilt unless price sustains above 200 DMA (₹113). Fundamentals remain constrained by high leverage and modest ROCE, making IRFC more suitable for tactical trades than long-term holding.
Would you like me to extend this into a railway sector overlay comparing IRFC’s technicals and fundamentals against peers like RVNL, IRCON, and IREDA to highlight sector-relative positioning?