IRFC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 2.9
| Stock Code | IRFC | Market Cap | 1,28,385 Cr. | Current Price | 98.2 ₹ | High / Low | 149 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 18.3 | Book Value | 43.3 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.14 % | ROCE | 5.83 % |
| ROE | 12.8 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 109 ₹ | DMA 200 | 121 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.01 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.06 % | PAT Qtr | 1,802 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 1,777 Cr. |
| RSI | 35.0 | MACD | -4.30 | Volume | 1,17,93,534 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,35,33,611 |
| Low price | 94.3 ₹ | High price | 149 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 8.29 | Debt to equity | 2.73 |
| 52w Index | 7.23 % | Qtr Profit Var | 10.5 % | EPS | 5.36 ₹ | Industry PE | 18.0 |
📉 Analysis: IRFC is trading at 98.2 ₹, well below its 50 DMA (109 ₹) and 200 DMA (121 ₹), showing medium-term weakness. RSI at 35.0 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD at -4.30 confirms bearish momentum. Volume (1.17 Cr.) is below weekly average (1.35 Cr.), suggesting weaker intraday participation. Price action is near support (94 – 96 ₹), offering scope for a short-term bounce but with limited conviction.
💰 Optimal Buy Price: 97 – 98 ₹ (near support zone)
🎯 Profit Exit Levels: 101 ₹ (minor resistance), 104 ₹ (next resistance)
🛑 Stop-Loss: 94 ₹ (support breach)
📊 If Already Holding: Consider exiting intraday near 101 – 104 ₹ if momentum indicators flatten. If price fails to hold above 97 ₹ with weak volume, exit early to protect capital.
✅ Positive
- Quarterly PAT improved slightly from 1,777 Cr. to 1,802 Cr. (+10.5%).
- Dividend yield of 2.14% provides investor support.
- Low debt-to-equity ratio compared to peers in PSU finance (2.73 is manageable).
⚠️ Limitation
- PEG ratio of 8.29 indicates poor growth-adjusted value.
- ROCE (5.83%) and ROE (12.8%) reflect modest efficiency.
- Price trading far below DMA levels shows weak medium-term trend.
📰 Company Negative News
- FII holdings decreased (-0.01%) and DII holdings decreased (-0.06%), showing reduced institutional confidence.
🌟 Company Positive News
- Quarterly PAT growth (+10.5%) highlights earnings stability.
- EPS at 5.36 ₹ reflects consistent profitability.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE at 18.0 is similar to IRFC’s 18.3, suggesting fair valuation.
- Railway finance sector remains cyclical, with investor focus on government policy and infrastructure spending.
📌 Conclusion
Intraday setup for IRFC is weak with bearish momentum and low volume despite stable fundamentals. Aggressive traders may attempt entries near 97 – 98 ₹ with stop-loss at 94 ₹, targeting 101 – 104 ₹. Conservative traders should avoid intraday trades until momentum indicators strengthen and price action confirms reversal. Medium-term outlook remains cautious due to high PEG ratio and modest efficiency despite steady PAT growth.
Selva, since IRFC is a railway finance PSU, do you want me to prepare a peer benchmarking overlay comparing it with RVNL, IRCTC, and RITES? That would highlight relative strength and rotation opportunities for compounding setups.