IRFC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.6

📊 Analysis: IRFC is trading at ₹114, below both its 50 DMA (₹119) and 200 DMA (₹128), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 30.2 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD (-2.45) confirms bearish momentum. Current volume (71.3L) is higher than the weekly average (54.6L), showing active intraday participation. Fundamentals are stable (ROE 12.8%, EPS ₹5.23, dividend yield 1.42%), but high debt-to-equity (7.25) and stretched PEG ratio (9.87) limit attractiveness. Intraday setup is moderately cautious with potential bounce near support.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹112–114 (near support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹118–122 (short-term resistance near DMA 50).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹110 (below recent support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above ₹116 or RSI drops below 30 with declining volume.

Positive

• ✅ Quarterly PAT growth of 10.2% (₹1,746 Cr. → ₹1,777 Cr.).
• ✅ Dividend yield of 1.42% adds investor confidence.
• ✅ FII inflows (+0.04%) and DII inflows (+0.03%) reflect investor support.
• ✅ Volume above weekly average indicates strong intraday activity.

Limitation

• ⚠️ RSI at 30.2 shows oversold momentum and weak buying strength.
• ⚠️ MACD negative (-2.45) signals bearish trend continuation.
• ⚠️ High debt-to-equity (7.25) reflects leveraged balance sheet risk.
• ⚠️ PEG ratio (9.87) suggests valuation stretched relative to growth.

Company Negative News

• 📉 Weak technicals with price below DMA 50 and DMA 200.

Company Positive News

• 📈 Quarterly PAT growth supports earnings momentum.
• 📈 Marginal FII and DII inflows reflect investor confidence.

Industry

• 🏭 Industry P/E (21.2) is close to IRFC’s P/E (21.8), showing fair valuation relative to peers.
• 🏭 Railway finance sector remains structurally important with government backing and steady demand.

Conclusion

🔎 IRFC shows weak intraday signals with oversold RSI and bearish MACD, but strong volume and stable fundamentals may support a short-term bounce near support. Suitable only for cautious intraday trades with tight stop-loss, targeting resistance zones for quick exits.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing IRFC with other railway and PSU finance stocks (like REC, PFC, and HUDCO) to identify stronger intraday setups, or keep the focus strictly on IRFC’s intraday exit logic refinement?