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ONGC - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 4.1

Last Updated Time : 04 May 26, 11:42 am

Fundamental Rating: 4.1

Stock Code ONGC Market Cap 3,76,842 Cr. Current Price 300 ₹ High / Low 308 ₹
Stock P/E 11.5 Book Value 267 ₹ Dividend Yield 4.09 % ROCE 14.8 %
ROE 11.4 % Face Value 5.00 ₹ DMA 50 278 ₹ DMA 200 260 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.54 % Chg in DII Hold -0.39 % PAT Qtr 8,372 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 9,848 Cr.
RSI 69.1 MACD 5.48 Volume 1,86,73,442 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,68,21,467
Low price 226 ₹ High price 308 ₹ PEG Ratio -2.81 Debt to equity 0.10
52w Index 90.2 % Qtr Profit Var 1.60 % EPS 26.0 ₹ Industry PE 28.2

📊 ONGC presents strong fundamentals with ROE at 11.4% and ROCE at 14.8%, reflecting efficient capital utilization. The P/E ratio of 11.5 is significantly lower than the industry average of 28.2, suggesting undervaluation. Dividend yield of 4.09% adds income appeal for long-term investors. Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10 highlights financial stability. However, the negative PEG ratio (-2.81) indicates limited earnings growth visibility, and RSI at 69.1 suggests near overbought conditions.

💰 Ideal Entry Price Zone: 270 ₹ – 285 ₹, closer to its 50 DMA (278 ₹), offering a safer entry aligned with valuation support.

📈 Long-Term Holding Guidance: ONGC is suitable for long-term holding (5+ years) due to strong fundamentals, dividend yield, and low debt. Investors may consider partial profit booking near 305–310 ₹ resistance while retaining core holdings for compounding returns.


✅ Positive

  • Low P/E (11.5) compared to industry average (28.2), indicating undervaluation.
  • Strong ROCE (14.8%) and ROE (11.4%).
  • Dividend yield of 4.09% provides steady income.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.10) ensures financial stability.

⚠️ Limitation

  • PEG ratio (-2.81) suggests weak earnings growth outlook.
  • RSI at 69.1 indicates near overbought conditions.
  • Quarterly PAT declined from 9,848 Cr. to 8,372 Cr.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT decline highlights earnings pressure.
  • DII holding decreased (-0.39%), showing reduced domestic institutional interest.

📈 Company Positive News

  • FII holding increased (+0.54%), reflecting foreign investor confidence.
  • MACD positive (5.48), supporting bullish technical momentum.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 28.2, much higher than ONGC’s 11.5, making ONGC undervalued relative to peers.
  • Energy sector benefits from global demand but is sensitive to crude price fluctuations and policy changes.

🔎 Conclusion

ONGC is a fundamentally strong, undervalued stock with attractive dividend yield and low debt. It is a good candidate for long-term investment, especially for income-focused investors. Entry near 270–285 ₹ offers better risk-reward. Current holders should maintain positions for 5+ years, booking partial profits near highs but retaining core holdings for sustained growth and dividends.

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