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VEDL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 4.1

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 10:19 am

Technical Rating: 4.1

Stock Code VEDL Market Cap 2,55,758 Cr. Current Price 655 ₹ High / Low 770 ₹
Stock P/E 51.0 Book Value 189 ₹ Dividend Yield 6.64 % ROCE 18.5 %
ROE 21.8 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 611 ₹ DMA 200 514 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 1.07 % Chg in DII Hold -0.94 % PAT Qtr 33.5 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr -449 Cr.
RSI 51.1 MACD 31.5 Volume 5,21,00,423 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,86,32,273
Low price 362 ₹ High price 770 ₹ PEG Ratio -12.6 Debt to equity 0.71
52w Index 71.8 % Qtr Profit Var 111 % EPS 31.3 ₹ Industry PE 30.7

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: VEDL is trading above both its 50 DMA (611 ₹) and 200 DMA (514 ₹), indicating strong bullish momentum. Price action suggests consolidation between 640–680 ₹, with strong support at 611–620 ₹ and resistance near 700–720 ₹. Trendlines show an upward bias with potential continuation.

📈 Moving Averages: Current price (655 ₹) is comfortably above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming bullish strength. Sustained move above 700 ₹ would signal trend continuation toward 770 ₹.

📉 RSI: At 51.1, RSI is neutral, suggesting balanced momentum with room for further upside.

📈 MACD: Positive at 31.5, confirming bullish momentum in the short term.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is mid-band, indicating consolidation with potential breakout if volume sustains.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (5,21,00,423) is significantly above the 1-week average (3,86,32,273), showing strong participation and buying interest.

🎯 Entry Zone: 640–655 ₹ (near support, risk-managed entry).

🎯 Exit Zone: 700–720 ₹ (resistance zone, profit booking advisable).

📌 Momentum Signal: Strong short-term bullish momentum, trending upward with consolidation around mid-levels. Breakout above 700 ₹ would confirm continuation toward 770 ₹.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (18.5%) and ROE (21.8%) highlight efficient capital use.
  • High dividend yield of 6.64% provides attractive investor returns.
  • Quarterly profit turnaround from -449 Cr. to 33.5 Cr. shows operational recovery.
  • FII holdings increased (+1.07%), reflecting foreign investor confidence.

Limitation

  • High P/E (51.0) compared to industry average (30.7) suggests overvaluation.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.71 indicates moderate leverage risk.
  • Negative PEG ratio (-12.6) highlights poor growth visibility.

Company Negative News

  • DII holdings decreased (-0.94%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation (+111%) highlights strong recovery momentum.
  • EPS of 31.3 ₹ reflects solid earnings base.

Industry

  • Industry P/E at 30.7 indicates sector is moderately valued compared to the company’s higher valuation.
  • 52-week index return of 71.8% shows strong sector momentum.

Conclusion

⚖️ VEDL is trending upward with strong bullish signals supported by volume and moving averages. Entry near 640–655 ₹ offers favorable risk-reward, while exits should be considered around 700–720 ₹. Sustained breakout above 700 ₹ could push toward 770 ₹. Fundamentally strong but slightly overvalued, making it a momentum-driven play in the near term.

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