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VEDL - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 2.8

Last Updated Time : 04 May 26, 11:42 am

Fundamental Rating: 2.8

Stock Code VEDL Market Cap 1,06,187 Cr. Current Price 272 ₹ High / Low 292 ₹
Stock P/E 58.4 Book Value 200 ₹ Dividend Yield 16.0 % ROCE 2.74 %
ROE 2.37 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 257 ₹ DMA 200 218 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 1.78 % Chg in DII Hold -1.88 % PAT Qtr -298 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr -56.7 Cr.
RSI 54.9 MACD 5.32 Volume 7,71,51,197 Avg Vol 1Wk 5,02,59,652
Low price 144 ₹ High price 292 ₹ PEG Ratio -1.01 Debt to equity 0.14
52w Index 86.2 % Qtr Profit Var 16.1 % EPS 45.3 ₹ Industry PE 40.9

📊 Financials: VEDL shows weak efficiency with ROCE at 2.74% and ROE at 2.37%. Debt-to-equity ratio is manageable at 0.14, but profitability remains poor with negative PAT (-₹298 Cr vs -₹56.7 Cr). EPS of ₹45.3 looks strong, yet earnings volatility undermines consistency.

💹 Valuation: Current P/E of 58.4 is well above industry average (40.9), suggesting stretched valuation despite weak fundamentals. PEG ratio of -1.01 signals growth concerns. P/B ratio (~1.36) is reasonable relative to book value. Dividend yield of 16% is highly attractive but may not be sustainable given losses.

🏢 Business Model & Advantage: VEDL operates in natural resources and metals, benefiting from scale and diversified commodity exposure. However, cyclical earnings, regulatory risks, and weak efficiency metrics limit competitive advantage.

📈 Entry Zone: Safer accumulation near ₹240–₹255 (close to DMA 200 support). Current price (₹272) is near 52-week high (₹292), limiting upside potential.

Long-Term Holding: High-risk candidate. Suitable only for dividend-focused investors or speculative trades. Long-term holding requires turnaround in profitability and efficiency metrics.


Positive

  • Attractive dividend yield (16%)
  • Reasonable debt-to-equity ratio (0.14)
  • EPS of ₹45.3 supports valuation
  • FII holdings increased (+1.78%)

Limitation

  • Negative PAT (-₹298 Cr)
  • Weak ROCE (2.74%) and ROE (2.37%)
  • High P/E (58.4 vs industry 40.9)
  • Negative PEG ratio (-1.01)

Company Negative News

  • Consistent losses with negative quarterly PAT
  • DII holdings decreased (-1.88%), showing reduced domestic confidence

Company Positive News

  • Strong dividend yield attracts income investors
  • FII inflows (+1.78%) reflect selective foreign confidence

Industry

  • Industry P/E at 40.9 indicates moderate sector valuation
  • Commodity sector remains cyclical, exposing VEDL to volatility

Conclusion

VEDL offers high dividend yield but suffers from weak profitability and efficiency metrics. Entry is safer near ₹240–₹255, with exits recommended near ₹285–₹290 resistance. Long-term holding is risky unless earnings stabilize and ROCE/ROE improve significantly.

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