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VBL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 10:19 am

Technical Rating: 3.4

Stock Code VBL Market Cap 1,58,784 Cr. Current Price 469 ₹ High / Low 593 ₹
Stock P/E 60.5 Book Value 53.4 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.21 % ROCE 23.8 %
ROE 20.1 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 480 ₹ DMA 200 489 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -1.62 % Chg in DII Hold 1.78 % PAT Qtr 577 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 1,160 Cr.
RSI 41.0 MACD -3.75 Volume 26,18,877 Avg Vol 1Wk 59,56,542
Low price 419 ₹ High price 593 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.90 Debt to equity 0.02
52w Index 28.6 % Qtr Profit Var 17.3 % EPS 7.76 ₹ Industry PE 45.4

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: VBL is trading below both its 50 DMA (480 ₹) and 200 DMA (489 ₹), indicating short-term weakness. Price action suggests consolidation between 419–489 ₹, with strong support at 419–430 ₹ and resistance near 489–510 ₹. Trendlines show sideways movement with bearish undertone.

📈 Moving Averages: Current price (469 ₹) is below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, signaling bearish momentum. A sustained move above 489 ₹ is required for reversal confirmation.

📉 RSI: At 41.0, RSI is in neutral-to-weak territory, closer to oversold levels, suggesting limited downside but weak momentum.

📉 MACD: Negative at -3.75, confirming bearish momentum in the short term.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, indicating oversold conditions and potential support around 419–430 ₹.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (26,18,877) is significantly below the 1-week average (59,56,542), showing reduced participation and weak buying interest.

🎯 Entry Zone: 419–430 ₹ (near support, risk-managed entry).

🎯 Exit Zone: 489–510 ₹ (resistance zone, profit booking advisable).

📌 Momentum Signal: Weak short-term momentum, consolidation phase with bearish undertone. A breakout above 489 ₹ is needed to confirm reversal.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (23.8%) and ROE (20.1%) highlight efficient capital use.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.02) ensures financial stability.
  • PEG ratio of 0.90 indicates reasonable growth valuation.
  • DII holdings increased (+1.78%), reflecting domestic investor confidence.

Limitation

  • High P/E (60.5) compared to industry average (45.4) suggests overvaluation.
  • Quarterly PAT dropped sharply from 1,160 Cr. to 577 Cr.
  • Weak trading volumes reduce momentum strength.

Company Negative News

  • Decline in FII holdings (-1.62%) shows reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Sequential PAT decline highlights margin pressure.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation (+17.3%) indicates operational resilience despite sequential decline.
  • EPS of 7.76 ₹ reflects solid earnings base.

Industry

  • Industry P/E at 45.4 indicates sector is moderately valued compared to the company.
  • 52-week index return of 28.6% shows healthy sector performance.

Conclusion

⚖️ VBL is consolidating near support with weak momentum and bearish undertones. Entry near 419–430 ₹ offers limited risk, while exits should be considered around 489–510 ₹ unless strong reversal occurs. Fundamentally strong but technically cautious in the near term.

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