VBL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:04 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.9

📊 Analysis: VBL is trading at 470 ₹, right at DMA 50 (469 ₹) but below DMA 200 (490 ₹), showing mixed signals. RSI at 52.3 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD positive (3.11) supports mild bullish bias. Intraday volume (28,99,229) is below weekly average (35,20,773), suggesting limited strength. Quarterly PAT dropped sharply (577 Cr. vs 1,160 Cr.), which may cap upside sentiment. Overall, VBL is a moderate candidate for intraday trading with cautious bias.

💰 Optimal Buy Price: 466–470 ₹ (near DMA 50 support zone).

📈 Profit-Taking Levels: 478–482 ₹ (first resistance), 490–495 ₹ (second resistance near DMA 200).

⚠️ Stop-Loss: 462 ₹ (below support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above 472 ₹ or if RSI dips below 50 with MACD flattening. Weak volume and inability to cross 478 ₹ should trigger exit to protect capital.

Positive

• ✅ Strong ROCE (23.8%) and ROE (20.1%) indicate efficient capital use.
• ✅ Very low debt-to-equity (0.02) ensures financial stability.
• ✅ PEG ratio of 0.90 suggests reasonable growth valuation.
• ✅ Institutional support with DII holding +1.26% and FII holding +0.07%.

Limitation

• ⚠️ High P/E (60.6) compared to industry average (47.4), indicating overvaluation.
• ⚠️ PAT dropped significantly (577 Cr. vs 1,160 Cr.), showing earnings pressure.
• ⚠️ Intraday volume weaker than weekly average, limiting breakout potential.
• ⚠️ Trading below DMA 200 (490 ₹) caps upside momentum.

Company Negative News

• 📉 Sequential decline in quarterly PAT (-50% approx) raises concerns on earnings consistency.

Company Positive News

• 📈 Institutional investors increased holdings (FII +0.07%, DII +1.26%).
• 📈 Strong ROCE and ROE highlight operational efficiency.

Industry

• 🏭 Industry P/E at 47.4 is lower than company’s P/E, showing sector is relatively cheaper.
• 🏭 Beverage sector remains demand-driven, but valuations are stretched across leading players.

Conclusion

📌 VBL is a moderate candidate for intraday trading with cautious bullish bias. Buy near 466–470 ₹ with profit targets at 478–482 ₹ and 490–495 ₹. Maintain strict stop-loss at 462 ₹. If already holding, exit on failure to sustain above 472 ₹ or if RSI/MACD momentum weakens.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay so you can compare VBL against other FMCG/beverage peers for intraday confirmation, or keep the focus on single-stock execution logic?