VBL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:16 pm

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.2

Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL) shows a mildly bearish-to-neutral setup for intraday trading today. While fundamentals are strong and volume is elevated, technical indicators suggest caution due to weakening momentum and proximity to key resistance levels.

📊 Intraday Trade Analysis

✅ Supportive Factors

Volume Surge: Current volume (78.8 lakh) is ~11% higher than 1-week average, indicating strong intraday interest.

Strong ROCE (23.8%) & ROE (20.1%): Operational efficiency is excellent.

Low Debt-to-Equity (0.02): Financially robust.

Quarterly PAT Growth: From ₹678 Cr to ₹1,160 Cr — a 71% jump.

DII Holding Increased: Domestic institutions showing confidence.

PEG Ratio (0.93): Reasonable valuation relative to growth.

⚠️ Bearish Signals

MACD Deep Negative (–7.91): Indicates strong bearish momentum.

RSI at 42.6: Below neutral zone, suggesting weak buying pressure.

Price Below DMA50 & DMA200: ₹474 < ₹488 (50-DMA) and ₹513 (200-DMA), confirming short-term and long-term weakness.

FII Holding Decline: Foreign sentiment weakening.

High P/E (63.1) vs Industry PE (84.7): Valuation is stretched.

🎯 Intraday Strategy

📌 Optimal Buy Price

Entry Zone: ₹470–₹474

Preferably on dips with volume >80 lakh and RSI crossing above 45.

💰 Profit-Taking Levels

Target 1: ₹482

Target 2: ₹488–₹490 (near 50-DMA)

🛡️ Stop-Loss

Exit Below: ₹464

A break below this level signals loss of intraday strength.

🕒 If Already Holding Today

📌 Exit Triggers

MACD Histogram Expands Negatively: Indicates worsening momentum.

Volume Drops Below 70 lakh: Signals fading interest.

Price Rejection at ₹482–₹488: If price fails to break this zone, consider exiting.

RSI Falls Below 40: Confirms bearish pressure.

VBL is best suited for cautious scalping today, especially if volume sustains and RSI improves. If you'd like to compare it with FMCG peers like Britannia or Tata Consumer for rotational setups, I can help with that too.

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