VBL - IntraDay Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 4.3

Here’s a comprehensive intraday analysis for Varun Beverages Ltd (VBL) based on technical indicators, price action, and volume dynamics

📊 Intraday Trade Assessment

✅ Positives

Strong Volume Surge: Current volume (2.53 Cr) is more than double the 1-week average (1.06 Cr), indicating strong participation.

MACD Positive (6.92): Bullish crossover suggests upward momentum.

RSI at 67.9: Near overbought, but still in bullish territory.

ROCE (24.8%) & ROE (22.5%): Excellent operational efficiency.

PAT Growth: Significant jump from ₹726 Cr to ₹1,317 Cr, showing strong earnings momentum.

Price Above 50 DMA (₹480) and approaching 200 DMA (₹520): Bullish trend confirmation.

⚠️ Negatives

High P/E (60.8) vs Industry PE (82.4): Expensive valuation, though justified by growth.

RSI Near Overbought: Caution for late entries.

FII Holding Decline (-1.12%): Slight institutional selling pressure.

🛒 Optimal Buy Price for Intraday

Buy Zone: ₹508–₹512 (current price range)

Confirmation: Entry on pullback near ₹508 with bullish candle and volume spike

🎯 Exit Levels

Scenario Price Level (₹) Strategy

Profit Booking ₹526–₹532 Resistance zone from recent highs

Aggressive Target ₹540–₹548 If momentum sustains above 200 DMA

Stop Loss ₹502 Below intraday support

📈 If You Already Hold the Stock Today

Exit on Weakness: If price fails to hold above ₹508 and volume drops sharply.

Exit on Spike: If price hits ₹532–₹540 with RSI > 70 and MACD flattens.

Hold Only If: Price sustains above ₹520 with rising volume and RSI remains below 75.

🔍 Final Verdict

VBL is a strong candidate for intraday trading today, backed by high volume, bullish momentum, and strong fundamentals. Ideal for momentum-based trades with tight risk management.

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