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PERSISTENT - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.3

Last Updated Time : 03 May 26, 11:25 am

Technical Rating: 3.3

Stock Code PERSISTENT Market Cap 75,720 Cr. Current Price 4,800 ₹ High / Low 6,599 ₹
Stock P/E 44.5 Book Value 425 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.73 % ROCE 35.6 %
ROE 26.8 % Face Value 5.00 ₹ DMA 50 5,178 ₹ DMA 200 5,505 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.68 % Chg in DII Hold 0.67 % PAT Qtr 420 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 452 Cr.
RSI 36.8 MACD -72.2 Volume 5,90,892 Avg Vol 1Wk 7,29,509
Low price 4,449 ₹ High price 6,599 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.57 Debt to equity 0.06
52w Index 16.3 % Qtr Profit Var 49.6 % EPS 104 ₹ Industry PE 21.6

Chart Patterns & Moving Averages: PERSISTENT is trading below both its 50 DMA (₹5,178) and 200 DMA (₹5,505), confirming medium-term weakness. Price action shows support near ₹4,450–₹4,500 and resistance around ₹5,150–₹5,200.

RSI & Momentum: RSI at 36.8 indicates oversold conditions, suggesting potential rebound. MACD at -72.2 is bearish, confirming downward bias.

Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, reflecting oversold territory and possible consolidation.

Volume Trends: Current volume (5.9L) is below average (7.3L), showing reduced participation and weakening conviction.

Entry/Exit Zones:

- **Entry:** ₹4,450–₹4,500 (near support zone)

- **Exit:** ₹5,150–₹5,200 (resistance zone)

- **Stop-loss:** ₹4,400 (below support)

Trend Status: Downtrend with oversold signals; potential consolidation before reversal attempts.


Positive

- Strong ROCE (35.6%) and ROE (26.8%).

- EPS at ₹104 supports earnings strength.

- PEG ratio at 1.57 indicates fair growth-adjusted valuation.

- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.06 shows low leverage.

- DII holding increased (+0.67%).

Limitation

- Price trading below both DMA 50 and DMA 200.

- RSI and MACD show weak momentum.

- PAT declined sequentially (₹452 Cr → ₹420 Cr).

- FII holding reduced (-0.68%).

Company Negative News

- Sequential profit decline impacting earnings visibility.

- FII outflows indicate weaker foreign confidence.

- Technical weakness with price below key moving averages.

Company Positive News

- DII inflows show domestic institutional confidence.

- Strong fundamentals with high efficiency ratios.

- PEG ratio suggests valuation is not excessively stretched.

Industry

- Industry PE at 21.6, lower than PERSISTENT’s valuation (44.5), highlighting premium pricing.

- IT services sector supported by digital transformation demand.

- Competitive peers with similar growth but lower valuations.

Conclusion

PERSISTENT is in a downtrend with weak technical momentum but strong fundamentals. Entry near ₹4,450–₹4,500 offers potential rebound toward ₹5,150–₹5,200, with strict stop-loss discipline at ₹4,400. Suitable for cautious swing trades; long-term investors should monitor earnings growth and valuation risks.

This HTML report captures PERSISTENT’s oversold technical setup alongside strong fundamentals, highlighting tactical entry/exit zones for disciplined trading. Would you like me to extend this into a sector overlay comparing PERSISTENT with Infosys, TCS, and HCL Tech to benchmark relative strength and valuation positioning?

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