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NYKAA - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.1

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:12 pm

Technical Rating: 3.1

Stock Code NYKAA Market Cap 67,846 Cr. Current Price 237 ₹ High / Low 273 ₹
Stock P/E 1,056 Book Value 5.98 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 6.25 %
ROE 6.10 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 251 ₹ DMA 200 232 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.39 % Chg in DII Hold 0.37 % PAT Qtr 12.2 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 12.9 Cr.
RSI 37.3 MACD -5.50 Volume 19,72,473 Avg Vol 1Wk 58,04,245
Low price 155 ₹ High price 273 ₹ PEG Ratio -523 Debt to equity 0.08
52w Index 69.4 % Qtr Profit Var -24.2 % EPS 0.22 ₹ Industry PE 49.0

📈 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Stock corrected from 273 ₹ highs and is consolidating near 237 ₹, showing weakness but holding above 155 ₹ support.
  • Moving Averages: Current price (237 ₹) is below 50 DMA (251 ₹) but slightly above 200 DMA (232 ₹), indicating short-term bearishness with long-term stability.
  • RSI: At 37.3, the stock is close to oversold territory, suggesting potential for a rebound.
  • MACD: Negative (-5.50), confirming bearish momentum persists.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, signaling oversold conditions but risk of breakdown.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (19,72,473) is significantly lower than 1-week average (58,04,245), showing weak participation.

📊 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-Term Momentum: Weak, but oversold RSI could trigger a bounce.
  • Support Zones: 230 ₹ (near-term), 210 ₹ (major support).
  • Resistance Zones: 251 ₹ (50 DMA), 260 ₹ (trendline resistance), 273 ₹ (recent high).
  • Entry Zone: 230–240 ₹ if RSI stabilizes.
  • Exit Zone: 251–260 ₹ on rebound; strict stop-loss below 230 ₹.
  • Trend Status: Stock is consolidating after correction, awaiting breakout direction.

✅ Positive

  • DII holdings increased (+0.37 %), showing domestic institutional support.
  • Stock trading slightly above 200 DMA (232 ₹) indicates long-term support.
  • Strong 52-week performance (+69.4 %) highlights investor interest.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Stock trading below 50 DMA indicates weak short-term technical strength.
  • Extremely high P/E (1,056) compared to industry PE (49.0) suggests severe overvaluation.
  • Low ROCE (6.25 %) and ROE (6.10 %) highlight weak capital efficiency.
  • No dividend yield (0.00 %) offers no income support.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT declined (12.2 Cr. vs 12.9 Cr.), showing earnings pressure.
  • Quarterly profit variance (-24.2 %) highlights declining profitability.
  • FII holdings decreased (-0.39 %), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+0.37 %), showing domestic institutional confidence.
  • Stock has delivered strong 52-week returns (+69.4 %), outperforming many peers.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 49.0 is far lower than company PE (1,056), suggesting NYKAA trades at a massive premium.
  • E-commerce and retail sector outlook remains positive with strong demand growth, but valuations are stretched.

🔎 Conclusion

  • NYKAA is in a consolidation phase after correction, with oversold RSI and weak MACD.
  • Short-term traders may consider entry near 230–240 ₹ with exit around 251–260 ₹.
  • Long-term investors should be cautious due to extreme valuations, weak ROCE/ROE, and declining profits, despite strong sector outlook and institutional support.

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