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NYKAA - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 2.5

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:08 pm

Fundamental Rating: 2.5

Stock Code NYKAA Market Cap 68,799 Cr. Current Price 240 ₹ High / Low 273 ₹
Stock P/E 1,071 Book Value 5.98 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 6.25 %
ROE 6.10 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 251 ₹ DMA 200 232 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.39 % Chg in DII Hold 0.37 % PAT Qtr 12.2 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 12.9 Cr.
RSI 37.3 MACD -5.50 Volume 19,72,473 Avg Vol 1Wk 58,04,245
Low price 155 ₹ High price 273 ₹ PEG Ratio -530 Debt to equity 0.08
52w Index 72.2 % Qtr Profit Var -24.2 % EPS 0.22 ₹ Industry PE 48.9

📊 Core Financials

  • Revenue growth: PAT at 12.2 Cr vs 12.9 Cr in previous quarter, showing decline (-24.2 % variation).
  • Profit margins: EPS at 0.22 ₹, very low relative to market cap.
  • Debt ratios: Debt-to-equity at 0.08, manageable leverage.
  • Cash flows: Limited visibility, profitability remains weak.
  • Return metrics: ROCE 6.25 %, ROE 6.10 % — modest efficiency and shareholder returns.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E ratio: 1,071, extremely high compared to industry average (48.9), suggests severe overvaluation.
  • P/B ratio: Current Price / Book Value ≈ 40.1, very expensive relative to assets.
  • PEG ratio: -530, not meaningful due to distorted growth expectations.
  • Intrinsic value: Current valuation not supported by fundamentals.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Operates in e-commerce and beauty retail sector with strong brand recognition.
  • Competitive advantage lies in digital-first approach and wide product portfolio.
  • However, profitability challenges and high valuation limit financial strength.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry zone: Attractive only near 155–180 ₹ levels, closer to 52-week low support.
  • Long-term holding: Cautious; suitable for growth-oriented investors, but fundamentals do not justify current premium valuation.

Positive

  • Strong brand presence in beauty and lifestyle e-commerce.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.37 %).
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.08).

Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E ratio (1,071) compared to industry average (48.9).
  • EPS at 0.22 ₹ reflects weak profitability.
  • ROE (6.10 %) and ROCE (6.25 %) are modest.
  • No dividend yield.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT declined (12.2 Cr vs 12.9 Cr).
  • FII holdings decreased (-0.39 %).
  • Technical indicators weak: RSI at 37.3, MACD negative.

Company Positive News

  • Strong institutional support from DII investors.
  • Brand continues to dominate online beauty and lifestyle retail.

Industry

  • E-commerce and retail sector growing rapidly, driven by digital adoption.
  • Industry PE at 48.9, far lower than NYKAA’s valuation, highlighting overpricing.

Conclusion

  • NYKAA demonstrates strong brand presence but weak profitability and efficiency metrics.
  • Valuation is extremely stretched compared to industry peers, limiting upside potential.
  • Entry advisable only near lower support levels; long-term holding requires caution unless earnings improve significantly.

I can also prepare a comparative HTML snapshot against peers like Tata Cliq, Myntra, and Amazon India’s retail arm to highlight NYKAA’s relative valuation and strengths.

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