NYKAA - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.9

📊 Analysis: NYKAA shows weak intraday potential due to stretched valuations and bearish technicals. Current price (₹249) is below the 50 DMA (₹253) but above the 200 DMA (₹226), reflecting short-term weakness with long-term support. RSI at 33.8 indicates oversold territory, while MACD (-3.54) confirms bearish momentum. Volume (52.7 lakh) is below the weekly average (60.7 lakh), reducing intraday strength.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹246–₹249 (near support zone).

🎯 Profit Exit Levels: ₹255 (first resistance), ₹262 (second resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹242 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above ₹249 with weak momentum or if volume continues to stay below average. Consider booking profits near ₹255–₹262 if momentum improves during the session.

Positive

• 📈 FII (+0.91%) and DII (+1.35%) holdings increased, showing institutional confidence.
• 💰 Low debt-to-equity (0.08) ensures financial stability.
• 📊 Strong 52-week performance with index at 79.5% reflects resilience.

Limitation

• ⚠️ Extremely high P/E (1,109) compared to industry average (42.2), suggesting severe overvaluation.
• 📉 Quarterly PAT dropped from ₹12.9 Cr. to ₹12.2 Cr. (-24.2%).
• 📊 Weak ROCE (6.25%) and ROE (6.10%) indicate poor capital efficiency.
• 🔻 MACD negative signals bearish short-term momentum.
• 📊 PEG ratio (-549) highlights unsustainable growth prospects.

Company Negative News

• 📰 No major negative news reported, but weak profitability and extreme valuation weigh heavily on sentiment.

Company Positive News

• 📰 Institutional inflows from both FII and DII support confidence despite weak earnings.

Industry

• 🏭 E-commerce and retail sector trading at PE 42.2, far lower than NYKAA’s valuation.
• 📈 Industry demand supported by digital adoption and consumer spending growth.

Conclusion

⚖️ NYKAA is fundamentally overvalued with weak profitability and bearish technicals, despite institutional inflows. Intraday trading opportunity is limited, with cautious entry near ₹246–₹249 and profit exits at ₹255–₹262. Strict stop-loss at ₹242 is essential due to declining earnings and negative momentum.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing NYKAA with other e-commerce and retail stocks, or should we focus on basket rotation signals for intraday workflow optimization?