MFSL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators
Back to ListTechnical Rating: 2.8
| Stock Code | MFSL | Market Cap | 55,983 Cr. | Current Price | 1,620 ₹ | High / Low | 1,765 ₹ |
| Book Value | 195 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | -0.13 % | ROE | -0.14 % |
| Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,648 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,537 ₹ | Chg in FII Hold | 0.35 % |
| Chg in DII Hold | 0.09 % | PAT Qtr | -3.40 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | -2.52 Cr. | RSI | 45.4 |
| MACD | -19.4 | Volume | 1,72,061 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 8,55,108 | Low price | 950 ₹ |
| High price | 1,765 ₹ | Debt to equity | 0.00 | 52w Index | 82.2 % | Qtr Profit Var | -38.2 % |
| EPS | -0.29 ₹ | Industry PE | 80.8 |
📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: MFSL is trading at 1,620 ₹, below its 50 DMA (1,648 ₹) but above its 200 DMA (1,537 ₹). This indicates a consolidation phase with mild bearish bias. The stock is closer to its 52-week high (1,765 ₹) than its low (950 ₹), but current weakness suggests caution.
📈 RSI: At 45.4, RSI is neutral, showing balanced momentum without strong overbought or oversold signals.
📉 MACD: Negative at -19.4, confirming bearish undertone and lack of bullish crossover signals.
📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the mid-band, indicating consolidation with limited volatility expansion.
📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (1,72,061) is significantly lower than average weekly volume (8,55,108), showing weak participation and lack of conviction in recent moves.
🎯 Entry Zone: 1,580–1,610 ₹ (near support and 200 DMA).
🎯 Exit Zone: 1,650–1,700 ₹ (near 50 DMA resistance).
Positive
- Market cap of 55,983 Cr. reflects strong presence in insurance/financial services sector.
- Stock trading above 200 DMA shows medium-term support.
- Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity ratio 0.00).
- FII holdings increased by 0.35%, showing foreign investor confidence.
- DII holdings increased by 0.09%, showing domestic institutional support.
Limitation
- Stock trading below 50 DMA, showing weak short-term momentum.
- ROCE (-0.13%) and ROE (-0.14%) are negative, highlighting poor capital efficiency.
- EPS is negative (-0.29 ₹), reflecting weak profitability.
- Dividend yield is 0.00%, offering no income return for investors.
- Volume participation is weak compared to average, reducing conviction in price action.
Company Negative News
- Quarterly PAT is negative (-3.40 Cr.), worsening from previous quarter (-2.52 Cr.).
- Quarterly profit variance of -38.2% highlights declining profitability.
- Weak ROE and ROCE indicate inefficiency in capital utilization.
Company Positive News
- FII and DII stake increases reflect investor confidence despite weak earnings.
- Stock trading above 200 DMA shows medium-term support.
Industry
- Insurance/financial services sector trading at industry PE of 80.8, highlighting MFSL’s weak earnings profile.
- Sector outlook remains positive with rising demand for insurance and financial products, but valuations are stretched.
Conclusion
⚖️ MFSL is in a consolidation phase with neutral RSI and negative MACD. Entry near 1,580–1,610 ₹ offers margin of safety, while exits around 1,650–1,700 ₹ provide profit-taking opportunities. Long-term investors should be cautious due to negative ROE/ROCE and weak profitability, while short-term traders may exploit consolidation moves for limited swing trades.
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