MFSL - IntraDay Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.4

🏦 Intraday Trading Analysis for MFSL

MFSL shows a weak technical setup for intraday trading today, despite some fundamental positives. Here's the detailed breakdown

✅ Positive Indicators

Volume Surge: Current volume (9.67 lakh) is well above 1-week average (5.21 lakh), indicating strong participation.

Quarterly Profit Spike (+175%): Recent earnings surprise could attract speculative interest.

Trading near 50-DMA (₹1,513): Could act as a pivot level.

Price well above 200-DMA (₹1,297): Long-term trend remains intact.

⚠️ Negative Indicators

RSI (36.6): Bearish zone, indicating weak momentum.

MACD (-8.70): Bearish crossover, suggesting downward pressure.

P/E (157) vs Industry PE (73.9): Extremely overvalued.

PEG Ratio (17.1): Indicates poor valuation relative to growth.

ROCE (8.07%) & ROE (7.22%): Weak return metrics.

PAT Decline (₹32.9 Cr vs ₹56.2 Cr): Despite YoY growth, sequential drop is concerning.

Dividend Yield (0%): No passive income support.

📈 Intraday Strategy

🔹 If Entering Fresh Today

Optimal Buy Price: ₹1,490–₹1,495 (on dip near support)

Profit-Taking Levels

Target 1: ₹1,515 (near 50-DMA)

Target 2: ₹1,530 (if volume sustains and RSI improves)

Stop-Loss: ₹1,475 (below intraday support and psychological level)

🔹 If Already Holding Today

Exit Signals

RSI drops below 35: Indicates further weakness

MACD diverges further negatively

Price fails to reclaim ₹1,505–₹1,510 by mid-session

Volume fades below 7 lakh with flat price action

🧠 Final Thoughts

MFSL is not a strong intraday candidate today due to weak momentum indicators and stretched valuations. While volume is high and recent profit growth is impressive, the technical setup favors caution. Best suited for short-term scalping with tight risk management.

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