MFSL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.5

📊 Analysis: MFSL is trading at ₹1,686, above DMA 50 (₹1,651) and DMA 200 (₹1,498), showing medium-term strength. However, fundamentals are weak with negative ROCE (-0.13%), ROE (-0.14%), and EPS (-₹0.29). PAT remains negative (-₹3.40 Cr.), worsening from the previous quarter. RSI at 52.4 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD positive (10.9) suggests mild bullishness. Volume (2.47L) is below 1-week average (4.28L), reflecting limited intraday participation. Intraday trades may be possible for speculative moves, but risk is elevated due to weak fundamentals.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹1,675–₹1,690 (near support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: ₹1,705 (first target), ₹1,720 (second target).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹1,660 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit near ₹1,705–₹1,720 if momentum slows or RSI approaches 60+. Cut position below ₹1,660 with rising volume, as weakness may extend further.

Positive

• 📈 Price above DMA 50 & DMA 200, confirming medium-term bullish trend
• 💹 Debt-free balance sheet with debt-to-equity at 0.00
• 📊 FII holding increased (+0.07%), showing marginal foreign support

Limitation

• 📉 Negative ROCE (-0.13%) and ROE (-0.14%) show poor efficiency
• 📊 EPS (-₹0.29) reflects weak earnings
• 📉 Quarterly PAT negative and worsening (-₹3.40 Cr.)
• 📊 Volume below average, limiting intraday momentum

Company Negative News

• ⚠️ Quarterly profit decline (-38.2%) impacting sentiment
• ⚠️ EPS negative highlights weak profitability

Company Positive News

• ✅ FII holding increased (+0.07%), showing marginal foreign confidence
• ✅ Debt-free structure ensures financial stability

Industry

• 🏦 Industry PE at 84.3, MFSL has no meaningful P/E due to losses
• 📊 Insurance & financial services sector remains volatile, sensitive to earnings performance

Conclusion

🔎 MFSL is a weak intraday candidate with poor fundamentals and negative profitability, though technicals show mild bullishness above DMA levels. Buy zone is ₹1,675–₹1,690 with targets at ₹1,705 and ₹1,720. Maintain strict stop-loss at ₹1,660. If already holding, exit near targets or cut losses below support with volume confirmation.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with other insurance/financial service companies or a sector rotation basket scan to validate intraday opportunities?