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MFSL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 2.7

Last Updated Time : 04 Feb 26, 05:34 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.7

Stock Code MFSL Market Cap 57,601 Cr. Current Price 1,670 ₹ High / Low 1,765 ₹
Book Value 195 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE -0.13 % ROE -0.14 %
Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,649 ₹ DMA 200 1,539 ₹ Chg in FII Hold 0.35 %
Chg in DII Hold 0.09 % PAT Qtr -3.40 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr -2.52 Cr. RSI 55.8
MACD -11.2 Volume 5,77,738 Avg Vol 1Wk 6,64,330 Low price 950 ₹
High price 1,765 ₹ Debt to equity 0.00 52w Index 88.4 % Qtr Profit Var -38.2 %
EPS -0.29 ₹ Industry PE 81.6

📊 Analysis: MFSL is trading at 1,670 ₹, above both its 50 DMA (1,649 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,539 ₹), showing medium-term support but weak fundamentals. RSI at 55.8 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD (-11.2) reflects bearish sentiment. Intraday volume (5.77 lakh) is lower than the weekly average (6.64 lakh), suggesting reduced participation. Fundamentals are concerning with negative ROE (-0.14%), ROCE (-0.13%), and EPS (-0.29 ₹), making it a risky intraday candidate despite technical support levels.

💰 Optimal Buy Price (Intraday): 1,660–1,670 ₹ (near support zone).

📈 Profit-Taking Levels: 1,685 ₹ (first resistance), 1,700 ₹ (secondary resistance).

⚠️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: 1,645 ₹ (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit if price fails to sustain above 1,685 ₹ with volume confirmation or if RSI dips below 54 intraday. Hold for extended gains only if momentum sustains above 1,700 ₹ with strong volume recovery.


Positive

  • 📈 Trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing technical support.
  • 📊 FII holdings increased (+0.35%).
  • 📉 Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity 0.00).

Limitation

  • ⚠️ Negative ROE (-0.14%) and ROCE (-0.13%).
  • 📉 EPS at -0.29 ₹ indicates weak profitability.
  • 📊 MACD (-11.2) shows bearish momentum.
  • 📉 Intraday volume weaker than weekly average.

Company Negative News

  • 📉 PAT remains negative (-3.40 Cr. vs -2.52 Cr.).
  • ⚠️ Quarterly profit variation (-38.2%) shows declining momentum.

Company Positive News

  • 📈 FII accumulation (+0.35%) and DII support (+0.09%).
  • 📊 Trading near 52-week high zone (88.4% index level).

Industry

  • 🏦 Insurance/financial services sector PE at 81.6, MFSL trades at a discount due to negative earnings.
  • 📈 Sector supported by long-term demand for insurance and financial products.

Conclusion

⚖️ MFSL is a weak intraday candidate. Buy near 1,660–1,670 ₹ with stop-loss at 1,645 ₹. Profit booking can be considered at 1,685–1,700 ₹. Momentum indicators suggest caution, as MACD remains bearish and fundamentals are negative. Traders should rely on volume confirmation before holding beyond 1,700 ₹.

Would you like me to also prepare a peer benchmarking overlay comparing MFSL with HDFC Life, SBI Life, and ICICI Prudential to highlight relative intraday strength in the insurance sector?

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