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ITI - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 2.5

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 2.5

Stock Code ITI Market Cap 25,571 Cr. Current Price 265 ₹ High / Low 373 ₹
Book Value 15.1 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE -1.33 % ROE -16.2 %
Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 279 ₹ DMA 200 297 ₹ Chg in FII Hold 0.00 %
Chg in DII Hold 0.00 % PAT Qtr -21.0 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr -52.5 Cr. RSI 46.8
MACD -6.01 Volume 79,32,826 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,91,12,862 Low price 233 ₹
High price 373 ₹ Debt to equity 0.90 52w Index 23.2 % Qtr Profit Var 68.7 %
EPS -1.54 ₹ Industry PE 50.0

📉 Chart & Trend: ITI is trading at ₹265, below both its 50 DMA (₹279) and 200 DMA (₹297), confirming a bearish bias.

📊 RSI: At 46.8, RSI is neutral, showing neither strong buying nor selling pressure.

📉 MACD: Negative at -6.01, reinforcing bearish momentum and lack of immediate recovery signals.

📈 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the mid-band, reflecting consolidation with mild downside risk.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (79 lakh) is significantly lower than the 1-week average (291 lakh), showing reduced participation and weak conviction.

📌 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum is weak. Sustaining above ₹260 support is crucial; a breakout above ₹280 could trigger recovery.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹255–₹265 (support zone, cautious entry).

🎯 Exit Zone: ₹285–₹300 (resistance zone, profit-taking advisable).

🔎 Trend Status: The stock is consolidating with weak momentum and bearish undertones.


Positive

  • Quarterly losses reduced from -₹52.5 Cr to -₹21 Cr, showing improvement.
  • Book value of ₹15.1 provides some margin of safety.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.90 is manageable compared to peers.
  • 52-week index performance at 23.2% shows relative strength.

Limitation

  • Negative ROCE (-1.33%) and ROE (-16.2%) highlight poor efficiency.
  • No dividend yield, limiting investor income support.
  • EPS at -₹1.54 reflects continued losses.
  • Price trading below both DMA 50 and DMA 200.

Company Negative News

  • Consistent losses with negative profitability metrics.
  • No improvement in FII or DII holdings.
  • Weak technical momentum with bearish MACD.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly losses narrowed significantly (-₹21 Cr vs -₹52.5 Cr).
  • Stable debt levels with manageable leverage.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 50.0 highlights premium valuations compared to ITI’s loss-making status.
  • Telecom and defense equipment sector is cyclical, with demand tied to government contracts and infrastructure projects.

Conclusion

⚠️ ITI is in a consolidation phase with weak technical indicators. While losses have narrowed, negative ROE/ROCE and lack of dividend yield limit attractiveness. Short-term traders may consider entry near ₹255–₹265 with strict stop-loss, targeting ₹285–₹300. Long-term investors should wait for sustained profitability and trend reversal before accumulating.

Selva, since you’re benchmarking telecom and defense-linked plays, I can prepare a peer overlay with BEL, BHEL, and HFCL to compare ITI’s momentum against sector rotation signals. Would you like me to add that basket scan for clearer compounding opportunities?

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