ITI - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.9

📊 Analysis: ITI is trading at ₹313, slightly above its 50 DMA (₹311) and 200 DMA (₹307). RSI at 36.2 indicates weak momentum, while MACD (-4.63) shows bearish crossover. Current volume (2.59L) is only marginally above the weekly average (2.56L), suggesting limited intraday participation. Fundamentals are weak (negative ROE, ROCE, and EPS), making ITI a risky intraday candidate despite technical support levels.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹310–312 (near DMA support).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹318–322 (short-term resistance zone).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹305 (below 200 DMA support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above ₹315 or RSI drops below 35 with declining volume.

Positive

• ✅ Trading above DMA 50 and DMA 200 provides short-term technical support.
• ✅ Quarterly loss narrowed from -₹59.7 Cr. to -₹52.5 Cr. (24.1% improvement).
• ✅ Volume slightly above average indicates some intraday interest.

Limitation

• ⚠️ Negative ROE (-16.2%) and ROCE (-1.33%) highlight poor capital efficiency.
• ⚠️ EPS (-1.97 ₹) reflects weak earnings profile.
• ⚠️ MACD bearish crossover signals short-term weakness.
• ⚠️ Debt-to-equity ratio (0.90) indicates moderate leverage risk.

Company Negative News

• 📉 Consistent quarterly losses despite slight improvement.
• 📉 FII holding decreased (-0.01%), showing reduced foreign investor interest.

Company Positive News

• 📈 DII holding increased (+0.01%), reflecting marginal domestic institutional support.
• 📈 Quarterly loss reduction shows gradual improvement in performance.

Industry

• 🏭 Industry P/E (48.7) is much higher than ITI’s negative earnings, highlighting valuation challenges.
• 🏭 Telecom/PSU sector remains volatile but has long-term infrastructure relevance.

Conclusion

🔎 ITI is a weak intraday candidate due to poor fundamentals and bearish technical signals. While short-term support exists near DMA levels, upside is limited. Best suited only for cautious intraday trades with tight stop-losses. Positional or swing trades carry higher risk given negative profitability and leverage.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing ITI with other telecom/PSU stocks (like MTNL, BSNL peers, or Tejas Networks) to see if sector rotation offers stronger intraday setups, or keep the focus strictly on ITI’s intraday exit logic refinement?