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ICICIPRULI - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.3

Last Updated Time : 04 May 26, 11:57 am

Technical Rating: 3.3

Stock Code ICICIPRULI Market Cap 74,512 Cr. Current Price 514 ₹ High / Low 707 ₹
Stock P/E 46.6 Book Value 94.0 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.17 % ROCE 8.84 %
ROE 10.7 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 567 ₹ DMA 200 608 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.59 % Chg in DII Hold 0.64 % PAT Qtr 609 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 390 Cr.
RSI 34.5 MACD -13.8 Volume 11,55,239 Avg Vol 1Wk 10,68,349
Low price 491 ₹ High price 707 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.83 Debt to equity 0.19
52w Index 10.5 % Qtr Profit Var 57.6 % EPS 11.0 ₹ Industry PE 70.0

📉 Chart Patterns & Trend: ICICIPRULI is trading below both its 50 DMA (₹567) and 200 DMA (₹608), confirming short-term and medium-term weakness. Current price (₹514) is near support at ₹500–₹510, suggesting consolidation with limited upside unless a rebound occurs.

📊 Momentum Indicators: RSI at 34.5 indicates weak momentum, close to oversold territory. MACD at -13.8 confirms bearish crossover. Bollinger Bands show price drifting near the lower band, signaling continued pressure but possible mean reversion.

📈 Volume Trends: Current volume (11.55 lakh) is slightly above average weekly volume (10.68 lakh), reflecting increased participation, likely driven by selling pressure.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹500 – ₹515 (near support, favorable risk-reward).

🚪 Exit Zone: ₹560 – ₹580 (near 50 DMA resistance; profit-taking zone if rebound occurs).

🔎 Status: The stock is consolidating near support but remains in a mild downtrend. Sustained recovery requires price action above ₹608 (200 DMA).


Positive

  • Quarterly PAT growth (+57.6%) supports earnings momentum.
  • EPS of ₹11.0 provides valuation stability.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.64%), showing domestic investor confidence.
  • PEG ratio of 1.83 suggests moderate valuation relative to growth.

Limitation

  • Stock trading below both 50 & 200 DMA indicates technical weakness.
  • RSI below 40 and negative MACD confirm bearish momentum.
  • Dividend yield of 0.17% is negligible.
  • ROCE (8.84%) and ROE (10.7%) are modest compared to peers.

Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-0.59%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Technical weakness with price below key moving averages.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT improved from ₹390 Cr to ₹609 Cr.
  • DII inflows reflect domestic institutional support.

Industry

  • Insurance sector trading at industry PE of 70.0, higher than ICICIPRULI’s P/E (46.6), suggesting relative undervaluation.
  • Sector outlook remains steady with rising demand for life insurance products.

Conclusion

⚠️ ICICIPRULI is technically weak, consolidating near support with bearish signals. Fundamentals show earnings growth, but modest ROE/ROCE and institutional outflows weigh on sentiment. Short-term traders may consider entry near ₹500–₹515 with exits around ₹560–₹580. Long-term investors should wait for confirmation above ₹608 before fresh accumulation.

Would you like me to extend this into a sector overlay comparison with SBI Life, HDFC Life, and LIC to benchmark ICICIPRULI’s relative strength in the life insurance space?

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