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DEEPAKFERT - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 4.1

Last Updated Time : 28 May 26, 07:38 pm

Technical Rating: 4.1

Stock Code DEEPAKFERT Market Cap 18,357 Cr. Current Price 1,453 ₹ High / Low 1,779 ₹
Stock P/E 57.0 Book Value 274 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.69 % ROCE 14.9 %
ROE 12.3 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 1,230 ₹ DMA 200 1,225 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.00 % Chg in DII Hold 0.07 % PAT Qtr 10.8 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 50.0 Cr.
RSI 68.0 MACD 72.2 Volume 2,29,982 Avg Vol 1Wk 8,54,140
Low price 865 ₹ High price 1,779 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.01 Debt to equity 0.13
52w Index 64.3 % Qtr Profit Var -83.9 % EPS 25.5 ₹ Industry PE 20.0

📈 Chart & Trend Analysis: DEEPAKFERT is trading at ₹1,453, well above its 50 DMA (₹1,230) and 200 DMA (₹1,225), confirming strong bullish momentum. RSI at 68.0 indicates near-overbought conditions, suggesting caution. MACD at 72.2 remains positive, supporting upward momentum. Bollinger Bands show price near the upper band, signaling potential volatility and resistance around ₹1,470–₹1,500.

🔎 Momentum Signals: Current volume (2.29L) is significantly below the 1-week average (8.54L), showing reduced participation. Short-term momentum favors upside, but weak volume may limit breakout strength.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹1,420–₹1,440 (support near DMA cluster)

🚪 Exit Zone: ₹1,470–₹1,500 (resistance zone)

🛑 Stop-Loss: ₹1,400 (below support)

📊 Trend Status: Strongly trending upward; possible consolidation if RSI remains elevated and volumes stay weak.


Positive

  • Trading well above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA confirms bullish trend.
  • MACD positive (72.2) supports momentum continuation.
  • Low debt-to-equity (0.13) ensures financial stability.
  • EPS at ₹25.5 provides earnings visibility.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.07%), reflecting domestic institutional support.

Limitation

  • High P/E (57.0) compared to industry PE (20.0) signals overvaluation.
  • Quarterly PAT dropped sharply (₹50 Cr → ₹10.8 Cr), showing earnings weakness.
  • PEG ratio (2.01) suggests growth is already priced in.
  • RSI at 68.0 indicates near-overbought conditions.
  • Volume significantly below average reduces conviction in breakout potential.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly profit variation (-83.9%) highlights earnings volatility.
  • No significant foreign institutional inflows; FII holding unchanged.

Company Positive News

  • Strong technical momentum supported by price above DMA levels.
  • Stable fundamentals with low debt and consistent dividend yield (0.69%).

Industry

  • Industry PE at 20.0 is much lower than DEEPAKFERT’s 57.0, highlighting valuation premium.
  • Fertilizer and chemicals sector remains cyclical, influenced by commodity prices and demand trends.

Conclusion

⚡ DEEPAKFERT is in a strong uptrend with robust technical momentum. Entry near ₹1,420–₹1,440 offers favorable positioning, with profit exits around ₹1,470–₹1,500. Elevated valuations and sharp earnings decline warrant disciplined risk management, with stop-loss maintained at ₹1,400. Momentum favors short-term gains, but weak volume participation suggests cautious accumulation.

Would you like me to extend this into a fertilizer sector overlay comparing peers like GNFC and Chambal Fertilizers, or keep it focused as a single DEEPAKFERT swing trade report?

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