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DEEPAKFERT - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 3.5

Stock Code DEEPAKFERT Market Cap 11,893 Cr. Current Price 943 ₹ High / Low 1,779 ₹
Stock P/E 36.9 Book Value 274 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.06 % ROCE 14.9 %
ROE 12.3 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 1,054 ₹ DMA 200 1,233 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.63 % Chg in DII Hold 0.56 % PAT Qtr 10.8 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 50.0 Cr.
RSI 40.8 MACD -33.8 Volume 4,19,558 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,65,193
Low price 901 ₹ High price 1,779 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.30 Debt to equity 0.13
52w Index 4.74 % Qtr Profit Var -83.9 % EPS 25.5 ₹ Industry PE 16.5

📊 Chart & Trend Analysis: DEEPAKFERT is trading at ₹943, below both its 50 DMA (₹1,054) and 200 DMA (₹1,233), indicating bearish momentum. RSI at 40.8 suggests the stock is nearing oversold territory. MACD at -33.8 confirms negative momentum. Bollinger Bands show price leaning towards the lower band, with support near ₹901.

📈 Momentum Signals: Current volume (4.19 lakh) is slightly above the 1-week average (3.65 lakh), showing active participation. However, weak RSI and negative MACD reinforce bearish bias, suggesting selling pressure dominates.

💡 Entry Zone: Optimal entry around ₹910–940 (near support).

🚪 Exit Zone: Resistance seen at ₹1,054 (50 DMA) and ₹1,233 (200 DMA). Profit booking advised near these levels.

🔎 Trend Status: The stock is currently consolidating with bearish bias. A breakout above ₹1,054 would indicate recovery momentum.


Positive

  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.13) ensures financial stability.
  • EPS of ₹25.5 supports earnings visibility.
  • Dividend yield of 1.06% adds investor appeal.
  • DII holding increased (+0.56%), showing domestic institutional support.

Limitation

  • High P/E (36.9) compared to industry average (16.5) suggests overvaluation.
  • Weak ROCE (14.9%) and ROE (12.3%) compared to peers.
  • Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA highlights weak technical strength.
  • PEG ratio of 1.30 indicates limited growth relative to valuation.

Company Negative News

  • Decline in FII holding (-0.63%) shows reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Quarterly PAT dropped sharply (₹10.8 Cr vs ₹50 Cr), indicating margin pressure.

Company Positive News

  • DII holding increased (+0.56%), reflecting domestic institutional support.
  • Quarterly profit variation (+214% YoY) highlights operational resilience despite sequential decline.

Industry

  • Industry P/E at 16.5 is much lower than DEEPAKFERT’s P/E, suggesting peers are more attractively valued.
  • Chemicals and fertilizers sector remains vital, supported by agricultural demand and industrial applications.

Conclusion

⚖️ DEEPAKFERT shows stable fundamentals (low debt, dividend yield) but weak technical momentum and high valuations weigh on performance. Short-term consolidation with bearish bias is evident. Entry near ₹910–940 offers margin of safety, while exits should be considered near ₹1,054–1,233. Long-term investors should be cautious given earnings volatility, while traders may wait for confirmation above 50 DMA before aggressive buying.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay (e.g., comparing DEEPAKFERT with GNFC, Chambal Fertilizers, and RCF) to highlight relative strength and sector rotation opportunities?

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