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CHENNPETRO - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:01 pm

Technical Rating: 3.8

Stock Code CHENNPETRO Market Cap 12,869 Cr. Current Price 864 ₹ High / Low 1,103 ₹
Stock P/E 6.17 Book Value 574 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.59 % ROCE 4.04 %
ROE 2.10 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 858 ₹ DMA 200 793 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 4.07 % Chg in DII Hold -1.58 % PAT Qtr 987 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 732 Cr.
RSI 46.7 MACD -4.34 Volume 6,36,647 Avg Vol 1Wk 21,89,608
Low price 433 ₹ High price 1,103 ₹ PEG Ratio -0.12 Debt to equity 0.23
52w Index 64.4 % Qtr Profit Var 9,338 % EPS 142 ₹ Industry PE 9.25

📊 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: CHENNPETRO has corrected from its 52-week high of 1,103 ₹ and is consolidating near 864 ₹.
  • Moving Averages: Price (864 ₹) is slightly above 50 DMA (858 ₹) but below 200 DMA (793 ₹), showing medium-term strength but short-term weakness.
  • RSI: At 46.7, neutral zone — neither overbought nor oversold.
  • MACD: Negative (-4.34), indicating mild bearish momentum.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near mid-band, suggesting consolidation.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (6.36 lakh) below 1-week average (21.9 lakh), showing weak participation.

📈 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-term Momentum: Weak due to negative MACD and RSI below 50.
  • Support Levels: 850 ₹ (near-term), 820 ₹ (major support).
  • Resistance Levels: 875 ₹ (50 DMA), 900 ₹ (psychological resistance).
  • Optimal Entry Zone: 840–860 ₹ (close to support).
  • Optimal Exit Zone: 880–900 ₹ (near resistance).
  • Trend Status: Consolidating with mild bearish bias.

✅ Positive

  • Low P/E (6.17) compared to industry PE (9.25), indicating undervaluation.
  • EPS of 142 ₹ supports strong earnings visibility.
  • Quarterly PAT improved (987 Cr vs 732 Cr), showing sequential growth.

⚠️ Limitation

  • ROCE (4.04%) and ROE (2.10%) are weak compared to peers.
  • PEG ratio (-0.12) indicates poor valuation relative to growth.
  • Volume participation remains low, reducing conviction in price moves.

📉 Company Negative News

  • DII holdings decreased (-1.58%), showing reduced domestic institutional confidence.
  • 52-week index at 64.4% indicates stock trading well below its peak.

📈 Company Positive News

  • FII holdings increased (+4.07%), reflecting foreign investor confidence.
  • Quarterly profit variation of 9,338% highlights strong turnaround performance.

🏭 Industry

  • Petrochemical and refining sector supported by global energy demand.
  • Industry PE at 9.25 vs stock PE at 6.17 — stock trades at discount valuation.

🔎 Conclusion

  • CHENNPETRO is consolidating with short-term bearish signals but strong earnings momentum.
  • Best entry near 840–860 ₹, exit near 880–900 ₹ unless breakout above 900 ₹ occurs.
  • Medium-term outlook cautious due to weak ROCE/ROE, though valuation discount and profit growth provide support.

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