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CHENNPETRO - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 4.4

Last Updated Time : 28 May 26, 07:19 pm

Technical Rating: 4.4

Stock Code CHENNPETRO Market Cap 15,687 Cr. Current Price 1,053 ₹ High / Low 1,160 ₹
Stock P/E 5.12 Book Value 725 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.76 % ROCE 35.6 %
ROE 32.7 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 1,011 ₹ DMA 200 901 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.28 % Chg in DII Hold 1.09 % PAT Qtr 1,400 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 987 Cr.
RSI 54.9 MACD -0.46 Volume 13,05,839 Avg Vol 1Wk 6,51,497
Low price 603 ₹ High price 1,160 ₹ PEG Ratio -1.10 Debt to equity 0.18
52w Index 80.9 % Qtr Profit Var 211 % EPS 206 ₹ Industry PE 14.6

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: CHENNPETRO is trending upward after a strong rally from its 603 ₹ low. Current price (1,053 ₹) is above both 50 DMA (1,011 ₹) and 200 DMA (901 ₹), confirming bullish alignment. Resistance lies near 1,080–1,100 ₹, with major resistance at 1,160 ₹. Support is seen around 1,020–1,030 ₹. Trendlines suggest continuation of the uptrend with strong momentum.

📈 Moving Averages: Price above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA indicates strong bullish momentum.

📉 RSI: At 54.9, RSI is neutral to bullish, leaving room for further upside.

📉 MACD: Slightly negative (-0.46), signaling short-term consolidation despite overall bullish structure.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the upper band, suggesting strong buying pressure but potential short-term pullback.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (13,05,839) is significantly above the 1-week average (6,51,497), showing strong participation supporting the rally.

💡 Momentum Signals: Bullish bias with short-term consolidation. A breakout above 1,080–1,100 ₹ could trigger upside toward 1,160 ₹, while support lies near 1,020–1,030 ₹.

🎯 Entry Zone: 1,020–1,030 ₹ (support region).

🎯 Exit Zone: 1,080–1,100 ₹ (resistance region; extended target 1,160 ₹).

📌 Status: Trending upward with bullish bias.

Positive

✔ EPS of 206 ₹ supports strong valuation.

✔ ROCE (35.6%) and ROE (32.7%) reflect excellent efficiency.

✔ Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18 indicates low leverage.

✔ Quarterly PAT growth (1,400 Cr. vs 987 Cr.) highlights strong earnings momentum.

✔ DII holdings increased (+1.09%), showing domestic institutional confidence.

Limitation

⚠ PEG ratio (-1.10) indicates weak growth valuation metrics.

⚠ FII holdings decreased (-0.28%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

⚠ Dividend yield modest at 0.76%.

⚠ MACD slightly negative, suggesting short-term consolidation.

Company Negative News

⚠ Reduced foreign institutional confidence with FII holdings down.

⚠ PEG ratio signals poor growth valuation metrics despite strong earnings.

Company Positive News

✔ Quarterly PAT surged significantly (+211% variance).

✔ DII holdings increased, showing domestic institutional support.

✔ Strong efficiency metrics (ROCE, ROE) reinforce operational strength.

Industry

🏭 Oil refining and petrochemical sector benefits from rising demand and favorable commodity cycles.

📈 Industry PE (14.6) higher than CHENNPETRO’s PE (5.12), suggesting undervaluation relative to peers.

Conclusion

📌 CHENNPETRO is trending upward with strong bullish momentum, supported by fundamentals and technicals. Entry near 1,020–1,030 ₹ offers favorable risk-reward, while exits near 1,080–1,100 ₹ are prudent unless momentum drives a breakout toward 1,160 ₹. Long-term investors may hold for undervaluation and efficiency metrics, while traders should monitor MACD and institutional flows for sustained momentum.

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