RVNL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am
Back to IntraDay Trade ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 2.7
| Stock Code | RVNL | Market Cap | 66,533 Cr. | Current Price | 319 ₹ | High / Low | 502 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 67.1 | Book Value | 41.2 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.56 % | ROCE | 15.0 % |
| ROE | 14.4 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 322 ₹ | DMA 200 | 352 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.23 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.01 % | PAT Qtr | 196 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 128 Cr. |
| RSI | 36.6 | MACD | -4.31 | Volume | 23,13,584 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 19,68,466 |
| Low price | 295 ₹ | High price | 502 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 22.3 | Debt to equity | 0.56 |
| 52w Index | 11.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | -35.2 % | EPS | 4.76 ₹ | Industry PE | 18.8 |
📊 Analysis: RVNL shows weak intraday potential. RSI at 36.6 indicates oversold conditions, but MACD (-4.31) remains negative, suggesting bearish sentiment. Current price (₹319) is below both 50 DMA (₹322) and 200 DMA (₹352), reflecting short-term and medium-term weakness. Volume (23.1L) is above weekly average (19.6L), showing participation but not strong bullish conviction.
💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹315–₹320 if price stabilizes near support.
🎯 Profit Exit Levels: ₹328–₹335 (near 50 DMA resistance).
🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹310 (below short-term support).
⏱️ Intraday Exit Guidance: If already holding, consider exiting near ₹328–₹335 if momentum weakens or volume fails to support breakout. Exit immediately if price drops below ₹310 intraday.
Positive
- 📈 Strong ROCE: 15% indicates efficient capital utilization.
- 📊 ROE at 14.4%: Reflects healthy equity returns.
- 💸 Dividend yield: 0.56% provides modest shareholder returns.
- 📈 Quarterly PAT growth: ₹196 Cr vs ₹128 Cr shows improvement sequentially.
Limitation
- ⚠️ High P/E ratio: 67.1 vs industry PE of 18.8 highlights overvaluation risk.
- 📉 Price below DMA levels: Trading below 50 & 200 DMA indicates weakness.
- 🔻 PEG ratio at 22.3: Suggests expensive growth expectations.
- 📉 Quarterly profit variance: -35.2% decline shows operational weakness.
Company Negative News
- 📉 FII holding reduced: -0.23% shows foreign investor caution.
- 💸 Quarterly profit decline: -35.2% variance highlights earnings pressure.
Company Positive News
- 📊 Sequential PAT growth: ₹196 Cr vs ₹128 Cr shows recovery momentum.
- 📈 Marginal increase in DII holding: +0.01% reflects cautious domestic institutional confidence.
Industry
- 🏗️ Industry PE: 18.8, much lower than RVNL’s 67.1, highlights relative overvaluation.
- 📊 Sector demand: Rail infrastructure sector remains cyclical, offering long-term opportunities but weak intraday momentum.
Conclusion
⚖️ RVNL is a weak intraday candidate today due to negative MACD, oversold RSI, and price trading below DMA levels. Optimal buy zone is ₹315–₹320 with profit exits near ₹328–₹335. Traders should maintain tight stop-losses at ₹310 and avoid aggressive intraday positioning.
Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with other rail infra stocks (like IRCON, RITES, Texmaco) for intraday comparison, or prepare a sector rotation basket for swing setups in the infrastructure space?
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