RVNL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 3.3
| Stock Code | RVNL | Market Cap | 67,398 Cr. | Current Price | 324 ₹ | High / Low | 448 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 67.9 | Book Value | 41.2 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.53 % | ROCE | 15.0 % |
| ROE | 14.4 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 333 ₹ | DMA 200 | 349 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.31 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.02 % | PAT Qtr | 196 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 128 Cr. |
| RSI | 44.7 | MACD | -2.24 | Volume | 1,01,17,008 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 2,02,71,598 |
| Low price | 295 ₹ | High price | 448 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 22.6 | Debt to equity | 0.56 |
| 52w Index | 19.1 % | Qtr Profit Var | -35.2 % | EPS | 4.76 ₹ | Industry PE | 17.1 |
📊 Analysis: RVNL shows weak-to-moderate strength for intraday trading. Current price (₹324) is below both 50 DMA (₹333) and 200 DMA (₹349), reflecting bearish bias. RSI at 44.7 indicates neutral-to-weak momentum, while MACD (-2.24) confirms short-term weakness. Volume is strong but significantly lower than weekly average, limiting intraday conviction. Fundamentals are decent with ROCE (15.0%) and ROE (14.4%), but valuation concerns (P/E 67.9 vs industry 17.1, PEG 22.6) and declining quarterly profit (-35.2%) weigh heavily on sentiment.
💹 Optimal Buy Price: Around ₹320–₹324 (near support zone close to 52-week low range).
🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹330–₹335 (short-term resistance zone).
🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹315 (below intraday support).
⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider exiting if price fails to sustain above ₹324 or RSI drops below 42 intraday. If momentum improves with volume, partial profit booking near ₹330–₹335 is advisable.
Positive
- ROCE (15.0%) and ROE (14.4%) reflect decent efficiency.
- Debt-to-equity ratio (0.56) is moderate, ensuring financial stability.
- EPS of ₹4.76 supports earnings visibility.
- FII holding increased (+0.31%), showing foreign investor confidence.
Limitation
- Price trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, reflecting bearish trend.
- MACD negative (-2.24) indicates short-term weakness.
- Volume significantly lower than weekly average, limiting intraday momentum.
- High P/E (67.9) compared to industry average (17.1), showing severe overvaluation.
- PEG ratio (22.6) highlights expensive valuation relative to growth.
Company Negative News
- Quarterly PAT declined (₹128 Cr → ₹196 Cr) but with -35.2% variation, showing earnings pressure.
- DII holding reduced (-0.02%), reflecting cautious domestic sentiment.
Company Positive News
- Sequential PAT improved (₹128 Cr → ₹196 Cr).
- FII holding increased (+0.31%), showing foreign confidence.
Industry
- Industry P/E at 17.1, much lower than RVNL’s valuation, highlighting relative overvaluation.
- Railway infrastructure sector outlook supported by government projects and long-term demand.
Conclusion
⚠️ RVNL is a weak-to-moderate candidate for intraday trading today. While fundamentals show efficiency and institutional support, technicals remain bearish with price below DMA levels, negative MACD, and stretched valuation. Traders should adopt a cautious approach: Buy near ₹320–₹324, book profits around ₹330–₹335, and protect downside with stop-loss at ₹315.
Would you like me to also prepare a railway sector benchmarking overlay comparing RVNL with peers like IRCON and RITES, so you can evaluate relative intraday strength within the sector?