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MGL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 04 Feb 26, 05:34 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.5

Stock Code MGL Market Cap 10,395 Cr. Current Price 1,051 ₹ High / Low 1,587 ₹
Stock P/E 10.5 Book Value 629 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.86 % ROCE 22.9 %
ROE 17.7 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 1,118 ₹ DMA 200 1,248 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 1.30 % Chg in DII Hold -2.06 % PAT Qtr 193 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 320 Cr.
RSI 41.6 MACD -19.8 Volume 1,76,280 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,66,749
Low price 1,019 ₹ High price 1,587 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.59 Debt to equity 0.03
52w Index 5.70 % Qtr Profit Var -32.6 % EPS 100 ₹ Industry PE 19.5

📊 Analysis: MGL is trading at 1,051 ₹, below its 50 DMA (1,118 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,248 ₹), indicating short-term and medium-term weakness. RSI at 41.6 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while MACD (-19.8) reflects bearish momentum. Intraday volume (1.76 lakh) is slightly above the weekly average (1.66 lakh), showing stable participation. Fundamentals remain strong with ROE 17.7%, ROCE 22.9%, and EPS at 100 ₹, but recent profit decline and weak technicals limit intraday upside.

💰 Optimal Buy Price (Intraday): 1,045–1,050 ₹ (near support zone).

📈 Profit-Taking Levels: 1,065 ₹ (first resistance), 1,080 ₹ (secondary resistance).

⚠️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: 1,035 ₹ (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit if price fails to sustain above 1,065 ₹ with volume confirmation or if RSI dips below 40 intraday. Hold for extended gains only if momentum sustains above 1,080 ₹ with strong volume recovery.


Positive

  • 📈 Strong fundamentals: ROE 17.7%, ROCE 22.9%.
  • 📊 EPS at 100 ₹ supports valuation strength.
  • 📉 Debt-to-equity at 0.03, almost debt-free.
  • 📈 Dividend yield at 2.86% adds investor confidence.
  • 📊 FII holdings increased (+1.30%).

Limitation

  • ⚠️ Current price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA.
  • 📉 MACD (-19.8) indicates bearish momentum.
  • 📊 RSI near oversold but not yet showing reversal strength.

Company Negative News

  • 📉 PAT dropped sharply (320 Cr. → 193 Cr.).
  • ⚠️ DII holdings decreased (-2.06%).

Company Positive News

  • 📈 EPS strength supports long-term investor confidence.
  • 📊 Dividend yield and FII accumulation add stability.

Industry

  • 🏭 Gas distribution sector PE at 19.5, MGL trades at a discount (10.5).
  • 📈 Sector supported by urban energy demand and infrastructure expansion.

Conclusion

⚖️ MGL is a moderate intraday candidate. Buy near 1,045–1,050 ₹ with stop-loss at 1,035 ₹. Profit booking can be considered at 1,065–1,080 ₹. Momentum indicators suggest caution, as MACD remains bearish despite strong fundamentals. Traders should rely on volume confirmation before holding beyond 1,080 ₹.

Would you like me to also prepare a peer benchmarking overlay comparing MGL with Indraprastha Gas (IGL) and Gujarat Gas to highlight relative intraday strength in the city gas distribution sector?

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