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MGL - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 4.1

Last Updated Time : 04 May 26, 11:33 am

Fundamental Rating: 4.1

Stock Code MGL Market Cap 11,218 Cr. Current Price 1,136 ₹ High / Low 1,587 ₹
Stock P/E 11.6 Book Value 629 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.64 % ROCE 22.9 %
ROE 17.7 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 1,080 ₹ DMA 200 1,174 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.76 % Chg in DII Hold 0.18 % PAT Qtr 202 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 193 Cr.
RSI 63.2 MACD 31.0 Volume 2,07,152 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,79,916
Low price 900 ₹ High price 1,587 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.65 Debt to equity 0.03
52w Index 34.3 % Qtr Profit Var -10.4 % EPS 97.9 ₹ Industry PE 21.5

📊 Mahanagar Gas Ltd (MGL) demonstrates strong fundamentals with a market cap of ₹11,218 Cr. and current price of ₹1,136, trading near its 50 DMA (₹1,080) but slightly below its 200 DMA (₹1,174). Efficiency metrics are robust — ROE at 17.7% and ROCE at 22.9% — supported by a healthy EPS of ₹97.9. Valuation remains attractive with a P/E of 11.6 compared to the industry average of 21.5, and PEG ratio at 0.65 suggests fair growth-adjusted valuation. Debt-to-equity is very low at 0.03, reflecting strong financial stability. Dividend yield at 2.64% adds investor returns. However, quarterly profit variation (-10.4%) indicates earnings volatility, and FIIs reduced holdings (-0.76%).

💡 Entry Zone: ₹1,100–₹1,120 (near support levels)

📈 Long-Term Holding: Attractive for long-term investors given strong fundamentals, low debt, and undervaluation. Accumulation on dips below ₹1,120 offers excellent value.

✅ Positive

  • Strong ROE (17.7%) and ROCE (22.9%) highlight efficiency
  • Attractive valuation (P/E 11.6 vs industry 21.5)
  • PEG ratio (0.65) indicates fair growth-adjusted valuation
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.03) reflects financial stability
  • Dividend yield of 2.64% adds investor returns

⚠️ Limitation

  • Quarterly profit variation (-10.4%) shows earnings volatility
  • FIIs reduced holdings (-0.76%), showing weaker foreign confidence
  • Stock trading below 200 DMA (₹1,174), indicating technical resistance

📉 Company Negative News

  • Sequential profit decline in recent quarter
  • Reduced foreign institutional participation

📈 Company Positive News

  • PAT improved sequentially (₹193 Cr → ₹202 Cr)
  • DII holdings increased (+0.18%)
  • Strong dividend payout policy supports investor confidence

🏭 Industry

  • City gas distribution sector trades at higher P/E (21.5), making MGL undervalued
  • Sector outlook remains positive with rising demand for clean energy solutions

🔎 Conclusion

MGL offers a compelling investment case with strong profitability, low debt, and attractive valuation. Entry near ₹1,100–₹1,120 provides a favorable risk-reward setup. Long-term investors can accumulate confidently, as fundamentals and sector positioning support sustained growth and value creation.

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