KEC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.2

📊 Analysis: KEC is trading at ₹712, below both its 50 DMA (₹751) and 200 DMA (₹814), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 41.3 indicates neutral-to-weak momentum, while MACD (-18.1) confirms bearish undertone. Intraday volume (3,61,633) is significantly lower than the 1-week average (16,08,167), showing reduced participation. Despite strong quarterly PAT growth (+81.8%), the high P/E (50.5 vs industry 18.8) and weak technicals limit intraday attractiveness.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹705–710 if price stabilizes near support.

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹730 (minor resistance), ₹750 (closer to 50 DMA).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹698 to protect against downside risk.

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to hold above ₹705 or RSI dips below 40 with declining volume. A bounce above ₹730 can be used for profit booking.

Positive

• 📈 Quarterly PAT growth of +81.8% (₹36.8 Cr. → ₹106 Cr.)
• 💰 EPS at ₹14.1 reflects earnings strength
• 🏭 ROCE at 14.6% shows efficient capital use
• 🔄 Dividend yield of 0.79% supports shareholder returns

Limitation

• ⚠️ High P/E (50.5) compared to industry average (18.8)
• 📉 Weak intraday momentum (RSI 41.3, MACD negative)
• 📊 Price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA
• 🔻 Low intraday volume vs weekly average

Company Negative News

• 📉 Decline in FII (-0.10%) and DII (-0.01%) holdings
• ⚠️ PEG ratio (-3.26) signals poor valuation-growth alignment

Company Positive News

• 📈 PAT improved sharply from ₹36.8 Cr. to ₹106 Cr.
• 💡 EPS growth supports profitability outlook
• 💰 Dividend yield adds shareholder value

Industry

• 🏗️ Infrastructure and EPC sector supported by government projects
• 📊 Industry PE at 18.8, much lower than company valuation
• 🌍 Long-term demand outlook remains positive with rising infrastructure investments

Conclusion

⚖️ KEC shows strong profit growth but weak intraday momentum and stretched valuations. Suitable only for cautious intraday trades near support with strict stop-loss. Better positioned for swing trades than aggressive intraday setups.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing KEC against other EPC/infrastructure players like L&T, Kalpataru Power, and NCC for intraday positioning?