KEC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.7

📈 Optimal Trade Setup

• Buy Price: ₹805–₹809 (only if price stabilizes above ₹805 with volume confirmation).
• Profit Exit Level: ₹820–₹830 (short-term resistance zone below 50 DMA).
• Stop-Loss: ₹795 (below recent support and psychological level).

📊 If Already Holding

• Exit Signal: RSI at 30.1 is oversold, MACD at -11.0 confirms bearish momentum — exit if price fails to hold ₹805 intraday.
• Volume: Current volume (4.16L) is above 1-week average (2.99L) — rising interest but not breakout strength.
• Exit Point: Consider exiting near ₹820–₹830 unless MACD flattens and RSI rebounds above 35 intraday.

✅ Positive

• Price nearing oversold zone — potential for technical bounce.
• Volume above average — signs of accumulation or short covering.
• EPS ₹12.3 and consistent PAT — stable earnings base.
• ROCE at 14.6% — decent operational efficiency.

⚠️ Limitation

• MACD strongly negative and RSI near oversold — weak momentum.
• Price below both 50 DMA (₹846) and 200 DMA (₹849) — bearish technical setup.
• High P/E of 65.5 and negative PEG ratio — valuation concerns.
• FII and DII holdings declined — cautious institutional sentiment.
• Quarterly PAT dropped from ₹161 Cr. to ₹36.8 Cr. — sharp earnings contraction.

📰 Company Negative News

• Significant drop in quarterly profits and institutional selling pressure signal short-term weakness.

📢 Company Positive News

• Despite earnings dip, volume surge and oversold RSI may offer short-term bounce opportunities.

🏗️ Industry

• Industry PE at 22.2 — KEC trades at a steep premium (PE 65.5), reflecting high growth expectations.
• Infrastructure and EPC sector supported by government capex but facing margin pressures.

🧾 Conclusion

• KEC is a cautious intraday candidate today with weak momentum and valuation concerns, but rising volume and oversold RSI may offer a short-term bounce.
• Entry near ₹809 is viable only if volume sustains; exit near ₹830 for short-term gains.
• If already holding, monitor MACD and RSI for continuation or reversal signals intraday.

I can also compare KEC’s setup with peers like Kalpataru Projects or NCC Ltd to help you identify stronger intraday momentum opportunities.