KEC - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation
Back to ListFundamental Rating: 3.8
| Stock Code | KEC | Market Cap | 12,891 Cr. | Current Price | 485 ₹ | High / Low | 947 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 37.8 | Book Value | 207 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.13 % | ROCE | 10.6 % |
| ROE | 6.42 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 559 ₹ | DMA 200 | 668 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -1.91 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.39 % | PAT Qtr | 119 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 78.7 Cr. |
| RSI | 33.9 | MACD | -22.2 | Volume | 10,47,360 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 28,68,140 |
| Low price | 466 ₹ | High price | 947 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 2.55 | Debt to equity | 0.84 |
| 52w Index | 3.97 % | Qtr Profit Var | -25.8 % | EPS | 16.1 ₹ | Industry PE | 17.5 |
📊 Financials: KEC International (KEC) shows moderate fundamentals with ROCE at 10.6% and ROE at 6.42%, reflecting weak capital efficiency compared to peers. Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.84 indicates relatively high leverage. EPS stands at ₹16.1, supported by PAT growth from ₹78.7 Cr. to ₹119 Cr. However, quarterly profit variation (-25.8%) highlights earnings volatility. Dividend yield at 1.13% provides modest shareholder returns.
💹 Valuation: Current P/E of 37.8 is significantly higher than the industry average of 17.5, suggesting overvaluation. P/B ratio (~2.3, 485/207) reflects fair premium pricing relative to book value. PEG ratio of 2.55 indicates growth is overpriced. Intrinsic value analysis suggests the stock is richly valued, with limited margin of safety.
🏢 Business Model & Health: KEC operates in engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) with strong presence in power transmission, railways, and civil infrastructure. While the business model is diversified, profitability remains under pressure due to high debt and weak return ratios. Institutional participation is mixed, with FII holdings declining (-1.91%) but DII holdings increasing (+1.39%).
📈 Entry Zone: Technical indicators (RSI 33.9, MACD -22.2, DMA 50 at ₹559, DMA 200 at ₹668) suggest oversold conditions. Accumulation near ₹460–₹490 could be favorable for long-term investors, though valuations remain stretched.
Positive
- ✅ PAT growth from ₹78.7 Cr. to ₹119 Cr. shows operational resilience.
- ✅ Dividend yield (1.13%) provides modest shareholder returns.
- ✅ Diversified business model across power, railways, and civil infrastructure.
- ✅ DII holdings increased (+1.39%), reflecting domestic institutional support.
Limitation
- ⚠️ ROCE (10.6%) and ROE (6.42%) highlight weak capital efficiency.
- ⚠️ High debt-to-equity ratio (0.84) requires monitoring.
- ⚠️ P/E (37.8) compared to industry average (17.5) suggests overvaluation.
- ⚠️ PEG ratio (2.55) indicates growth is overpriced.
Company Negative News
- 📉 Quarterly profit variation (-25.8%) highlights earnings pressure.
- 📉 Decline in FII holdings (-1.91%) signals reduced foreign investor confidence.
Company Positive News
- 📈 PAT growth indicates improved operational performance.
- 📈 DII holding increased (+1.39%), reflecting domestic institutional support.
Industry
- 🌐 Industry P/E at 17.5 indicates moderate sector valuations.
- 🌐 EPC sector benefits from infrastructure expansion and government spending.
Conclusion
🔎 KEC International is financially stable with a diversified business model, but weak return ratios and high debt limit attractiveness. Valuations are stretched with P/E and PEG ratios above industry norms. Entry near ₹460–₹490 offers a cautious risk-reward opportunity. Long-term holding is justified only for investors confident in EPC sector growth, while monitoring debt levels and institutional sentiment closely.