HFCL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:16 pm

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.5

📊 Intraday Trading Analysis — HFCL

✅ Strengths

Volume Surge: Massive intraday volume (9.62 Cr.) more than double the 1-week average — strong speculative interest.

Momentum Indicators: RSI at 61.6 and MACD slightly positive (0.11) — mild bullish momentum.

Technical Support: Price is above 50-DMA (₹75.3), offering short-term support.

Institutional Sentiment: Both FII and DII holdings increased by 0.78% — positive bias.

⚠️ Weaknesses

Valuation: P/E of 291 and PEG of -24.9 — extremely overvalued and growth-skeptical.

Fundamentals: ROCE (7.90%) and ROE (5.00%) are weak; EPS of ₹0.27 is very low.

Profitability: PAT remains negative (₹-42.3 Cr.), though improved from ₹-72.6 Cr.

Trend Pressure: Price is below 200-DMA (₹87.4) and far from 52-week high (₹171) — no breakout setup.

52W Index at 8.86%: Trading near yearly lows — bounce possible but risky.

📈 Intraday Strategy

🔹 Optimal Buy Price

Buy Zone: ₹76.5–₹77.6 (near VWAP and 50-DMA support)

🔹 Profit-Taking Levels

Target 1: ₹79.5 — minor resistance

Target 2: ₹81.2 — if volume spikes and RSI >64

🔹 Stop-Loss Level

Stop-Loss: ₹74.8 — below VWAP and psychological support

🔻 Exit Strategy If Already Holding

Exit on Weakness

Price drops below ₹75 with rising volume and RSI dips below 58

MACD flattens or turns negative

Exit on Strength

Price breaks ₹79.5 with volume >1.5x average and RSI >64

Trail stop-loss upward to ₹77.6 once ₹79.5 is breached

🧠 Final Take

HFCL is a speculative intraday candidate today. While volume and short-term momentum support tactical entries, weak fundamentals and extreme valuation demand caution. Best suited for bounce scalping with tight risk control.

Let me know if you'd like to track price action or set up a trailing stop strategy!

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