GUJGASLTD - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.3

📊 Analysis: GUJGASLTD shows weak intraday momentum with RSI at 32.8 and negative MACD (-5.66), indicating bearish sentiment. Current price (395 ₹) is below both 50 DMA (406 ₹) and 200 DMA (439 ₹), reflecting technical weakness. Volume (4.93L) is slightly above average weekly volume (4.05L), suggesting active participation but mostly on the sell side. Fundamentals are decent (ROCE 19.6%, ROE 14.3%, low debt-to-equity 0.02), but quarterly PAT declined (-8.44%), limiting conviction for aggressive intraday trades.

💹 Optimal Buy Price: 390–395 ₹ (near intraday support).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: 405–410 ₹ (short-term resistance zone near 50 DMA).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: 385 ₹ (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above 405 ₹ with volume confirmation, or if RSI dips below 30 with continued negative MACD. Hold only if momentum reverses above 410–415 ₹ with strong volume, targeting 420 ₹.

Positive

• ✅ Strong ROCE (19.6%) and ROE (14.3%) reflect efficient capital use.
• ✅ Low debt-to-equity (0.02) ensures financial stability.
• ✅ Dividend yield (1.55%) adds shareholder value.
• ✅ Volume above average indicates active participation in the current session.

Limitation

• ⚠️ RSI at 32.8 and negative MACD (-5.66) indicate bearish momentum.
• ⚠️ Price below 50 DMA and 200 DMA shows technical weakness.
• ⚠️ Quarterly PAT decline (-8.44%) shows earnings pressure.
• ⚠️ FII (-0.16%) and DII (-0.03%) outflows show reduced institutional confidence.
• ⚠️ PEG ratio (-6.33) suggests valuation concerns.

Company Negative News

• ❌ No major external negative news reported, but profit decline and weak momentum indicators are concerns.

Company Positive News

• 🌟 EPS at 16.2 ₹ remains stable despite profit decline.
• 🌟 Dividend yield supports investor confidence.

Industry

• 🏭 Industry PE at 20.4 is slightly lower than GUJGASLTD’s PE (24.3), suggesting mild premium valuation.
• 🏭 Gas distribution sector outlook remains stable with steady demand drivers.

Conclusion

📌 GUJGASLTD is a moderate candidate for intraday trading with weak momentum indicators and declining profits. While fundamentals are decent and volume is supportive, technical weakness below DMA levels limits conviction. Suitable only for cautious intraday traders with tight stop-loss discipline, aiming for short scalps near resistance zones rather than aggressive intraday runs.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay against other gas distribution stocks (like IGL, MGL, Adani Total Gas) to compare intraday strength and sector rotation opportunities?