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GUJGASLTD - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 07:10 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.8

Stock Code GUJGASLTD Market Cap 24,676 Cr. Current Price 359 ₹ High / Low 509 ₹
Stock P/E 21.3 Book Value 126 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.62 % ROCE 19.6 %
ROE 14.3 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 401 ₹ DMA 200 424 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.12 % Chg in DII Hold 0.09 % PAT Qtr 266 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 281 Cr.
RSI 32.1 MACD -12.6 Volume 6,49,278 Avg Vol 1Wk 54,98,359
Low price 355 ₹ High price 509 ₹ PEG Ratio -5.54 Debt to equity 0.02
52w Index 2.44 % Qtr Profit Var 19.8 % EPS 16.9 ₹ Industry PE 14.4

📊 Core Financials

  • Quarterly PAT declined from ₹281 Cr. to ₹266 Cr., showing mild weakness.
  • ROCE at 19.6% and ROE at 14.3% → decent efficiency compared to peers.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 → virtually debt-free.
  • Cash flows supported by steady gas distribution operations.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 21.3 vs Industry PE of 14.4 → trading at a premium.
  • P/B Ratio: ~2.85x (₹359 / ₹126) → moderate valuation.
  • PEG Ratio: -5.54 → negative, indicating weak growth visibility.
  • Intrinsic Value: Current price above fair zone, reflecting optimism in gas demand.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • City gas distribution company with strong presence in Gujarat and expanding footprint.
  • Low debt and efficient operations provide resilience.
  • Exposure to regulatory changes and commodity prices may affect margins.

📈 Technical & Entry Zone

  • Current Price: ₹359, below 50 DMA (₹401) and 200 DMA (₹424).
  • RSI: 32.1 → oversold zone, potential rebound.
  • MACD: -12.6 → bearish momentum.
  • Entry Zone: Attractive accumulation between ₹340–₹355.
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable for investors with 3–5 year horizon, given sector demand growth.

✅ Positive

  • Low debt levels (0.02 debt-to-equity).
  • Dividend yield of 1.62% provides steady income.
  • FII holdings increased by 0.12% and DII holdings by 0.09%.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High P/E ratio compared to industry average.
  • Negative PEG ratio indicates weak growth visibility.
  • Quarterly PAT decline raises short-term concerns.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Stock corrected from 52-week high of ₹509.
  • Quarterly PAT declined from ₹281 Cr. to ₹266 Cr.

📈 Company Positive News

  • EPS of ₹16.9 reflects profitability despite margin pressures.
  • FII and DII inflows indicate institutional confidence.

🏭 Industry

  • Gas distribution sector supported by rising demand for cleaner fuels.
  • Industry PE at 14.4 indicates moderate investor confidence.

🔎 Conclusion

GUJGASLTD is a city gas distribution company with strong fundamentals, low debt, and steady demand outlook.

Despite short-term earnings weakness and premium valuations, its long-term prospects remain intact.

Best accumulated around ₹340–₹355 for investors with a 3–5 year horizon, supported by dividend yield and sector growth.

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