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CDSL - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 4.3

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 07:10 pm

Fundamental Rating: 4.3

Stock Code CDSL Market Cap 25,782 Cr. Current Price 1,234 ₹ High / Low 1,829 ₹
Stock P/E 53.7 Book Value 67.4 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.01 % ROCE 46.5 %
ROE 36.3 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 1,320 ₹ DMA 200 1,438 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.86 % Chg in DII Hold 0.94 % PAT Qtr 120 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 128 Cr.
RSI 44.2 MACD -39.1 Volume 20,27,771 Avg Vol 1Wk 19,64,487
Low price 1,080 ₹ High price 1,829 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.61 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 20.5 % Qtr Profit Var 14.3 % EPS 23.0 ₹ Industry PE 46.1

📊 Financial Overview

  • Revenue & Profitability: Quarterly PAT declined slightly from 128 Cr. to 120 Cr., but EPS at 23.0 ₹ remains strong. Profit variation at 14.3% indicates resilience.
  • Margins & Returns: ROE at 36.3% and ROCE at 46.5% are excellent, reflecting strong efficiency and shareholder returns.
  • Debt Profile: Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00 indicates a debt-free balance sheet, ensuring financial stability.
  • Cash Flow: Strong profitability and dividend yield of 1.01% highlight healthy cash generation.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 53.7 vs Industry PE of 46.1 → trading at a premium valuation.
  • P/B Ratio: Current Price 1,234 ₹ vs Book Value 67.4 ₹ → P/B ~18.3, expensive compared to industry norms.
  • PEG Ratio: 2.61 → suggests valuation premium relative to growth.
  • Intrinsic Value: Trading above intrinsic value, limiting near-term upside.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • CDSL operates as a depository, providing electronic holding and settlement of securities in India.
  • Competitive advantage lies in its monopoly-like position (one of only two depositories in India), strong regulatory backing, and high entry barriers.
  • Debt-free structure and high ROE/ROCE provide resilience and efficiency.

📈 Technical & Entry Zone

  • Stock trading at 1,234 ₹, below 50 DMA (1,320 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,438 ₹).
  • RSI at 44.2 indicates neutral-to-oversold momentum; MACD negative suggests short-term weakness.
  • Entry Zone: Attractive between 1,150–1,200 ₹ for accumulation, with long-term holding potential.

✅ Positive

  • Debt-free balance sheet ensures financial stability.
  • Outstanding ROE (36.3%) and ROCE (46.5%).
  • Monopoly-like position in India’s depository market.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High P/E (53.7) and P/B (~18.3) indicate premium valuation.
  • PEG ratio of 2.61 suggests overvaluation relative to growth.
  • Quarterly PAT decline from 128 Cr. to 120 Cr. shows short-term weakness.

📉 Company Negative News

  • No major recent negative news, but premium valuation and slight profit decline raise caution.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Strong institutional confidence with FII (+0.86%) and DII (+0.94%) increases.
  • Debt-free status and high efficiency metrics reinforce long-term strength.

🏭 Industry

  • Depository services benefit from rising retail participation in equity markets.
  • Industry PE at 46.1 indicates high valuations across the sector.
  • Limited competition (only two depositories in India) provides structural advantage.

🔮 Conclusion

  • CDSL shows strong fundamentals with monopoly-like positioning, debt-free balance sheet, and excellent ROE/ROCE.
  • Valuation appears stretched, limiting near-term upside despite long-term strength.
  • Recommendation: Accumulate in the 1,150–1,200 ₹ range for long-term holding, focusing on structural growth in India’s capital markets.

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