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RELINFRA - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 2.5

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 09:02 pm

Technical Rating: 2.5

Stock Code RELINFRA Market Cap 3,235 Cr. Current Price 79.4 ₹ High / Low 425 ₹
Book Value 595 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE -1.41 % ROE -8.12 %
Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 118 ₹ DMA 200 201 ₹ Chg in FII Hold -1.35 %
Chg in DII Hold -0.21 % PAT Qtr -166 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr -152 Cr. RSI 29.1
MACD -10.7 Volume 68,38,257 Avg Vol 1Wk 31,17,809 Low price 74.6 ₹
High price 425 ₹ Debt to equity 0.03 52w Index 1.37 % Qtr Profit Var -75.2 %
EPS -10.0 ₹ Industry PE 24.6

📊 Chart Analysis: RELINFRA is trading far below both its 50 DMA (118 ₹) and 200 DMA (201 ₹), indicating strong weakness. RSI at 29.1 suggests oversold territory, while MACD at -10.7 confirms bearish divergence. Bollinger Bands show price hugging the lower band, reflecting heavy selling pressure. Current volume (68,38,257) is significantly higher than average (31,17,809), indicating strong selling activity.

📈 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum is very weak. RSI below 30 suggests oversold conditions, which could trigger a technical rebound, but MACD remains negative, limiting upside potential.

💰 Entry Zone: 74 ₹ – 80 ₹ (near support levels).

📉 Exit Zone: 115 ₹ – 120 ₹ (resistance near 50 DMA).

🔎 Trend Status: The stock is in a strong downtrend, with only short-term rebound potential if oversold conditions trigger a bounce.


Positive

  • Book value of 595 ₹ provides strong asset backing compared to current price.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 indicates low leverage.

Limitation

  • No meaningful P/E ratio due to negative earnings.
  • ROCE (-1.41%) and ROE (-8.12%) are negative, showing poor capital efficiency.
  • Trading far below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, signaling weakness.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT remains negative (-166 Cr vs -152 Cr), showing continued losses.
  • FII holdings declined (-1.35%) and DII holdings also fell (-0.21%).
  • Stock collapsed from 52-week high (425 ₹ to 79.4 ₹).

Company Positive News

  • Low debt-to-equity ratio provides some financial stability despite losses.
  • High book value compared to market price may attract value investors.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 24.6 highlights profitability in peers, contrasting with RELINFRA’s losses.
  • Sector outlook remains challenging given weak fundamentals in the company.

Conclusion

⚠️ RELINFRA is currently in a strong downtrend. Entry is highly risky, but oversold RSI may trigger short-term rebounds near 74–80 ₹. Exit should be considered near 115–120 ₹ resistance. Long-term investors should avoid until profitability improves and price sustains above 118–201 ₹ with stronger volume.

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