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MRF - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.9

Last Updated Time : 27 May 26, 07:22 pm

Technical Rating: 3.9

Stock Code MRF Market Cap 53,846 Cr. Current Price 1,26,924 ₹ High / Low 1,63,600 ₹
Stock P/E 22.4 Book Value 48,223 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.18 % ROCE 16.3 %
ROE 12.4 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 1,31,746 ₹ DMA 200 1,38,854 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.20 % Chg in DII Hold -0.25 % PAT Qtr 669 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 736 Cr.
RSI 42.7 MACD -1,489 Volume 3,052 Avg Vol 1Wk 5,552
Low price 1,23,430 ₹ High price 1,63,600 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.43 Debt to equity 0.08
52w Index 8.70 % Qtr Profit Var 34.4 % EPS 5,554 ₹ Industry PE 21.8

📈 Chart & Momentum Analysis

- Current price (₹1,26,924) is below DMA 50 (₹1,31,746) and DMA 200 (₹1,38,854), showing short-term and medium-term weakness.

- RSI at 42.7 indicates neutral-to-weak momentum, leaning toward oversold territory.

- MACD at -1,489 is strongly negative, signaling bearish bias.

- Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, suggesting downside pressure.

- Volume (3,052) is below average weekly volume (5,552), showing weak participation.

🎯 Entry & Exit Zones

- Optimal entry: ₹1,23,500–₹1,25,000 (support near recent lows).

- Exit/Profit zone: ₹1,30,000–₹1,32,000 (resistance near DMA 50).

- Stop-loss: ₹1,22,500 (support zone).

📊 Trend Status

- The stock is reversing downward with bearish momentum, struggling to regain strength above moving averages.

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Positive

✔ EPS at ₹5,554 reflects strong profitability.

✔ ROCE (16.3%) and ROE (12.4%) show decent efficiency.

✔ PEG ratio at 0.43 indicates attractive growth-adjusted valuation.

✔ Low debt-to-equity (0.08) ensures financial stability.

Limitation

⚠ Trading below DMA 50 & DMA 200, showing weakness.

⚠ RSI weak, MACD strongly negative.

⚠ Volume tapering, showing lack of conviction.

Company Negative News

📉 PAT declined from ₹736 Cr. to ₹669 Cr. (-34.4%).

📉 FII holding reduced (-0.20%).

📉 DII holding reduced (-0.25%).

Company Positive News

📈 EPS remains strong at ₹5,554.

📈 Stable balance sheet with low leverage.

📈 Dividend yield at 0.18% adds investor appeal.

Industry

🚗 Tyre sector PE at 21.8, MRF trades at a slight premium (PE 22.4).

🚗 Sector outlook remains cyclical, tied to auto demand recovery.

Conclusion

🔎 MRF is reversing downward with weak momentum and bearish signals. Best strategy is cautious accumulation near ₹1,23,500–₹1,25,000 and profit booking around ₹1,30,000–₹1,32,000. A breakout above ₹1,32,000 would confirm trend reversal toward ₹1,35,000+.

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