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MRF - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 3.8

Stock Code MRF Market Cap 56,816 Cr. Current Price 1,33,806 ₹ High / Low 1,63,600 ₹
Stock P/E 25.5 Book Value 45,019 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.18 % ROCE 13.8 %
ROE 10.5 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 1,41,960 ₹ DMA 200 1,43,696 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.09 % Chg in DII Hold 0.12 % PAT Qtr 736 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 512 Cr.
RSI 40.4 MACD -2,787 Volume 5,710 Avg Vol 1Wk 6,190
Low price 1,07,389 ₹ High price 1,63,600 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.50 Debt to equity 0.11
52w Index 47.0 % Qtr Profit Var 140 % EPS 5,123 ₹ Industry PE 24.8

📊 Chart & Trend: MRF trades at ₹1,33,806, below both its 50 DMA (₹1,41,960) and 200 DMA (₹1,43,696). This indicates short-term and medium-term weakness, with the stock struggling to regain momentum after recent declines.

📉 Momentum Indicators: RSI at 40.4 shows the stock is approaching oversold territory, suggesting possible support but no strong reversal yet. MACD at -2,787 confirms bearish momentum. Bollinger Bands suggest price is near the lower band, with support around ₹1,30,000–₹1,32,000.

📈 Volume Trends: Current volume (5,710) is slightly below the 1-week average (6,190), reflecting reduced participation and lack of strong buying interest.

🔑 Entry Zone: ₹1,30,000–₹1,32,000 (near support and oversold RSI levels).

🚪 Exit Zone: ₹1,42,000–₹1,44,000 (near resistance and 200 DMA).

📌 Trend Status: The stock is in consolidation with bearish bias, showing weakness across moving averages but potential support emerging near ₹1,30,000.


Positive

  • Quarterly PAT surged (₹512 Cr → ₹736 Cr).
  • EPS at ₹5,123 indicates strong earnings power.
  • ROCE (13.8%) and ROE (10.5%) show decent efficiency.
  • PEG ratio at 0.50 suggests reasonable valuation relative to growth.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.12%), reflecting domestic institutional support.

Limitation

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, signaling weakness.
  • Dividend yield at 0.18% is modest compared to peers.
  • 52-week index at 47% shows moderate underperformance.

Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-0.09%), showing reduced foreign investor interest.
  • Stock continues to trade below key moving averages.

Company Positive News

  • Sequential PAT growth highlights strong profitability momentum.
  • DII stake increased, supporting long-term confidence.

Industry

  • Tyre sector PE at 24.8, close to MRF’s valuation of 25.5.
  • Sector rotation remains cautious, with cyclical demand linked to auto industry trends.

Conclusion

⚖️ MRF is consolidating with bearish short-term signals, trading below key averages. Entry near ₹1,30,000–₹1,32,000 offers margin of safety, while exits around ₹1,42,000–₹1,44,000 provide profit-taking opportunities. Despite weak technicals, strong profitability, efficiency, and reasonable PEG ratio support long-term resilience, though institutional selling adds caution.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with Apollo Tyres, JK Tyre, and CEAT to compare MRF’s valuation and technical strength within the tyre sector?

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