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IOB - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:51 am

Technical Rating: 3.4

Stock Code IOB Market Cap 66,202 Cr. Current Price 34.4 ₹ High / Low 52.4 ₹
Stock P/E 13.9 Book Value 18.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 5.95 %
ROE 11.0 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 36.2 ₹ DMA 200 39.4 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.04 % Chg in DII Hold 1.96 % PAT Qtr 1,365 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 1,226 Cr.
RSI 42.2 MACD -0.39 Volume 93,12,585 Avg Vol 1Wk 77,43,170
Low price 33.0 ₹ High price 52.4 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.56 Debt to equity 10.9
52w Index 6.91 % Qtr Profit Var 56.2 % EPS 2.47 ₹ Industry PE 7.64

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: Indian Overseas Bank (IOB) is consolidating near the 34–36 ₹ zone. Price is trading below both the 50 DMA (36.2 ₹) and 200 DMA (39.4 ₹), indicating short-term weakness and medium-term resistance. Strong support is visible near 33 ₹, while resistance lies around 38–40 ₹.

📉 Moving Averages: Both 50 DMA and 200 DMA are acting as resistance. Sustained move above 37–38 ₹ would confirm bullish momentum.

📉 RSI: At 42.2, RSI is weak, suggesting bearish momentum and limited buying strength.

📉 MACD: Slightly negative (-0.39), showing mild bearish crossover and lack of strong momentum.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, reflecting oversold conditions. A rebound toward 36–37 ₹ is possible if support holds.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (93 lakh) is higher than average weekly volume (77 lakh), showing active participation despite consolidation.

🎯 Entry Zone: 33–35 ₹ (support zone).

🎯 Exit Zone: 38–40 ₹ (resistance zone).

🔑 Stop Loss: 32 ₹ (below recent support).


Positive

  • Quarterly PAT improved from 1,226 Cr. to 1,365 Cr. (56.2% growth).
  • EPS at 2.47 ₹ supports valuation strength.
  • DII holdings increased (+1.96%), showing strong domestic institutional support.
  • PEG ratio at 0.56 indicates undervaluation relative to growth.

Limitation

  • Price trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA confirms short-term weakness.
  • ROCE at 5.95% and ROE at 11.0% are modest compared to peers.
  • Dividend yield at 0.00% reduces income attractiveness.
  • High debt-to-equity ratio (10.9) reflects leverage typical of PSU banks.

Company Negative News

  • Stock corrected from 52.4 ₹ to 34.4 ₹, reflecting investor caution.
  • Weak return ratios limit efficiency and profitability outlook.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT growth highlights strong operational performance.
  • DII inflows (+1.96%) show domestic institutional confidence.
  • FII holdings increased slightly (+0.04%).

Industry

  • Industry PE at 7.64 vs. stock PE at 13.9 highlights premium valuation.
  • Banking sector supported by credit growth, government reforms, and digital adoption.

Conclusion

⚖️ IOB is in a consolidation phase with mild bearish signals (MACD negative, RSI weak). Medium-term outlook remains supported by strong PAT growth and institutional inflows, but valuation is stretched compared to industry peers. Entry near 33–35 ₹ offers margin of safety, while breakout above 38 ₹ could trigger momentum toward 40 ₹. Risk management is essential due to modest return ratios and high leverage.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with other PSU banks (like Bank of India, UCO Bank, and Central Bank of India) to highlight relative strength and sector rotation opportunities?

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