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IDEA - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 2.7

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 10:19 am

Technical Rating: 2.7

Stock Code IDEA Market Cap 1,17,769 Cr. Current Price 10.9 ₹ High / Low 12.8 ₹
Book Value -7.58 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE -2.07 % ROE %
Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 10.6 ₹ DMA 200 9.38 ₹ Chg in FII Hold 0.00 %
Chg in DII Hold 0.85 % PAT Qtr -6,406 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr -5,622 Cr. RSI 51.8
MACD -0.19 Volume 78,31,50,022 Avg Vol 1Wk 93,88,38,122 Low price 6.12 ₹
High price 12.8 ₹ 52w Index 71.1 % Qtr Profit Var 3.45 % EPS -2.64 ₹
Industry PE 39.9

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: IDEA is trading slightly above its 50 DMA (10.6 ₹) and well above its 200 DMA (9.38 ₹), showing short-term strength but overall weak fundamentals. Price action suggests consolidation between 10–12 ₹, with strong support at 10 ₹ and resistance near 12–12.5 ₹. Trendlines indicate sideways movement with mild bearish undertone.

📈 Moving Averages: Current price (10.9 ₹) is marginally above the 50 DMA and comfortably above the 200 DMA, signaling short-term stability but not strong bullishness. Sustained move above 12 ₹ is required for reversal confirmation.

📉 RSI: At 51.8, RSI is neutral, suggesting balanced momentum without strong buying or selling signals.

📉 MACD: Slightly negative at -0.19, indicating weak bearish divergence and lack of strong momentum.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is mid-band, suggesting consolidation with limited volatility. Breakout above upper band (~12 ₹) would confirm bullish momentum.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (78.3 Cr. shares) is below the 1-week average (93.8 Cr. shares), showing reduced participation and weak buying interest.

🎯 Entry Zone: 10–10.5 ₹ (near support, risk-managed entry).

🎯 Exit Zone: 12–12.5 ₹ (resistance zone, profit booking advisable).

📌 Momentum Signal: Weak short-term momentum, consolidation phase with mild bearish undertone. A breakout above 12 ₹ is needed to confirm reversal.


Positive

  • Stock trading above 200 DMA shows some technical resilience.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.85%), reflecting domestic investor support.
  • 52-week index return of 71.1% highlights strong sector momentum.

Limitation

  • Negative book value (-7.58 ₹) indicates weak financial health.
  • ROCE (-2.07%) and ROE are negative, showing poor efficiency.
  • EPS is negative (-2.64 ₹), reflecting continued losses.
  • Weak trading volumes reduce momentum strength.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT remains deeply negative (-6,406 Cr.), worsening from previous quarter (-5,622 Cr.).
  • No dividend yield, limiting investor returns.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation (+3.45%) shows marginal improvement despite losses.
  • DII support increased, showing domestic institutional confidence.

Industry

  • Industry P/E at 39.9 indicates sector is moderately valued, but IDEA’s losses make P/E non-comparable.
  • Strong sector momentum with 52-week index return of 71.1% supports broader growth outlook.

Conclusion

⚖️ IDEA is consolidating near support with weak momentum and bearish undertones. Entry near 10–10.5 ₹ offers limited risk, while exits should be considered around 12–12.5 ₹ unless strong reversal occurs. Fundamentally weak with persistent losses, making it a speculative technical play in the near term.

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