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IDEA - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 2.1

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:19 pm

Fundamental Rating: 2.1

Stock Code IDEA Market Cap 1,17,769 Cr. Current Price 10.9 ₹ High / Low 12.8 ₹
Book Value -7.58 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE -2.07 % ROE %
Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 10.6 ₹ DMA 200 9.38 ₹ Chg in FII Hold 0.00 %
Chg in DII Hold 0.85 % PAT Qtr -6,406 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr -5,622 Cr. RSI 51.8
MACD -0.19 Volume 78,31,50,022 Avg Vol 1Wk 93,88,38,122 Low price 6.12 ₹
High price 12.8 ₹ 52w Index 71.1 % Qtr Profit Var 3.45 % EPS -2.64 ₹
Industry PE 39.9

📊 Core Financials

  • Revenue & Profitability: Quarterly PAT remains negative (-6,406 Cr. vs -5,622 Cr.), showing continued losses despite marginal improvement.
  • Margins & Returns: ROCE at -2.07% and negative EPS (-2.64 ₹) highlight poor efficiency and profitability.
  • Debt Ratios: Debt-to-equity not disclosed, but negative book value (-7.58 ₹) indicates stressed balance sheet.
  • Cash Flows: No dividend payout (0.00%) reflects weak cash generation and focus on survival rather than shareholder returns.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: Not meaningful due to negative earnings.
  • P/B Ratio: Current Price / Book Value not applicable as book value is negative.
  • PEG Ratio: Not available, limiting growth-adjusted valuation analysis.
  • Intrinsic Value: Current price (10.9 ₹) reflects speculative sentiment rather than fundamentals.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Operates in telecom sector with large subscriber base but faces intense competition and financial stress.
  • Weak profitability and high debt burden limit competitive advantage.
  • Survival depends on external support, tariff hikes, and operational restructuring.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Speculative accumulation only near 9 ₹ – 10 ₹, close to DMA 200 support.
  • Long-Term Holding: High-risk investment; suitable only for speculative investors betting on turnaround. Conservative investors should avoid.

✅ Positive

  • Marginal improvement in quarterly losses (-6,406 Cr. vs -5,622 Cr.).
  • DII holdings increased (+0.85%), showing some domestic institutional support.
  • RSI at 51.8 indicates neutral technical momentum.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Persistent negative PAT and EPS.
  • Negative book value (-7.58 ₹) highlights balance sheet stress.
  • ROCE at -2.07% shows poor efficiency.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Continued heavy losses despite minor improvement.
  • MACD at -0.19 suggests weak technical outlook.
  • No dividend payout, reflecting weak cash flows.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly loss narrowed slightly compared to previous quarter.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.85%), indicating some domestic confidence.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 39.9 highlights profitability among peers, but IDEA lags due to negative earnings.
  • Telecom sector benefits from rising data demand but faces pricing pressure.
  • Peers with stronger fundamentals command higher valuations and stability.

🔎 Conclusion

IDEA remains financially distressed with negative earnings, poor returns, and a stressed balance sheet. Entry is only advisable near 9 ₹ – 10 ₹ for speculative investors willing to accept high risk. For conservative investors, stronger telecom peers offer better stability and growth potential. Overall, IDEA’s outlook depends heavily on external support and industry tariff improvements.

I can also compare IDEA’s fundamentals against peers like Airtel and Jio to highlight relative strengths and weaknesses if you’d like.

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