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COFORGE - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 4.1

Last Updated Time : 28 May 26, 07:19 pm

Technical Rating: 4.1

Stock Code COFORGE Market Cap 59,599 Cr. Current Price 1,387 ₹ High / Low 1,994 ₹
Stock P/E 39.1 Book Value 252 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.09 % ROCE 21.7 %
ROE 21.5 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,308 ₹ DMA 200 1,477 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -11.2 % Chg in DII Hold -9.25 % PAT Qtr 590 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 181 Cr.
RSI 59.2 MACD 44.5 Volume 18,31,619 Avg Vol 1Wk 20,55,796
Low price 1,008 ₹ High price 1,994 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.57 Debt to equity 0.03
52w Index 38.4 % Qtr Profit Var 309 % EPS 41.5 ₹ Industry PE 21.0

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: COFORGE is consolidating after a decline from its 1,994 ₹ high. Current price (1,387 ₹) is above the 50 DMA (1,308 ₹) but below the 200 DMA (1,477 ₹), showing short-term strength but medium-term resistance. Support lies near 1,350–1,370 ₹, with resistance at 1,420–1,450 ₹. Trendlines suggest sideways consolidation with mild bullish undertone.

📈 Moving Averages: Price above 50 DMA indicates short-term bullishness, but trading below 200 DMA signals medium-term caution.

📉 RSI: At 59.2, RSI is moderately bullish, leaving room for further upside before overbought conditions.

📈 MACD: Strongly positive (44.5), confirming bullish momentum.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the mid-to-upper band, suggesting consolidation with potential breakout.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (18,31,619) is slightly below the 1-week average (20,55,796), showing moderate participation.

💡 Momentum Signals: Bullish bias. A breakout above 1,420–1,450 ₹ could trigger upside toward 1,500–1,550 ₹, while breakdown below 1,350 ₹ risks further decline.

🎯 Entry Zone: 1,350–1,370 ₹ (support region).

🎯 Exit Zone: 1,420–1,450 ₹ (resistance region; extended target 1,500–1,550 ₹).

📌 Status: Consolidating with bullish bias.

Positive

✔ EPS of 41.5 ₹ supports valuation strength.

✔ Strong ROCE (21.7%) and ROE (21.5%).

✔ Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 indicates negligible leverage.

✔ Quarterly PAT growth (590 Cr. vs 181 Cr.) highlights earnings momentum.

Limitation

⚠ Price trading below 200 DMA, showing medium-term resistance.

⚠ FII holdings decreased (-11.2%) and DII holdings decreased (-9.25%), showing reduced institutional confidence.

⚠ High P/E (39.1) compared to industry PE (21.0), suggesting overvaluation.

⚠ Volume below average, limiting breakout strength.

Company Negative News

⚠ Institutional outflows (FII and DII) highlight weaker sentiment.

⚠ Valuation premium relative to industry peers.

Company Positive News

✔ PAT growth of 309% highlights strong profitability momentum.

✔ Dividend yield of 1.09% adds investor appeal.

✔ Debt-free balance sheet supports financial stability.

Industry

💻 IT services sector benefits from digital transformation demand and outsourcing growth.

📈 Industry PE (21.0) lower than COFORGE’s PE (39.1), suggesting premium valuation relative to peers.

Conclusion

📌 COFORGE is consolidating near support with bullish undertone. Entry around 1,350–1,370 ₹ offers favorable risk-reward, while exits near 1,420–1,450 ₹ are prudent unless momentum strengthens for a breakout toward 1,500–1,550 ₹. Long-term investors should monitor valuation risks and institutional flows, while traders may exploit short-term consolidation opportunities.

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