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CDSL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 28 May 26, 07:19 pm

Technical Rating: 3.6

Stock Code CDSL Market Cap 25,995 Cr. Current Price 1,244 ₹ High / Low 1,829 ₹
Stock P/E 55.5 Book Value 76.5 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.00 % ROCE 40.3 %
ROE 31.3 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 1,257 ₹ DMA 200 1,369 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -1.04 % Chg in DII Hold -0.70 % PAT Qtr 68.8 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 120 Cr.
RSI 51.3 MACD -14.3 Volume 19,97,940 Avg Vol 1Wk 16,91,364
Low price 1,116 ₹ High price 1,829 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.80 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 17.9 % Qtr Profit Var -14.9 % EPS 22.4 ₹ Industry PE 41.4

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: CDSL is consolidating after a decline from its 1,829 ₹ high. Current price (1,244 ₹) is below both 50 DMA (1,257 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,369 ₹), reflecting weakness. Support lies near 1,200–1,220 ₹, with resistance at 1,280–1,300 ₹. Trendlines suggest sideways consolidation with bearish undertone.

📈 Moving Averages: Price is trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming short-term weakness and long-term caution.

📉 RSI: At 51.3, RSI is neutral, showing balanced momentum without strong buying signals.

📉 MACD: Negative (-14.3), confirming bearish momentum.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the mid-band, suggesting consolidation with limited volatility.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (19,97,940) is above the 1-week average (16,91,364), showing strong participation despite weak price action.

💡 Momentum Signals: Neutral to bearish bias. A breakout above 1,280–1,300 ₹ could trigger upside toward 1,350 ₹, while breakdown below 1,200 ₹ risks further decline.

🎯 Entry Zone: 1,200–1,220 ₹ (support region).

🎯 Exit Zone: 1,280–1,300 ₹ (resistance region; extended target 1,350 ₹).

📌 Status: Consolidating with bearish bias.

Positive

✔ Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity: 0.00).

✔ Strong ROCE (40.3%) and ROE (31.3%).

✔ EPS of 22.4 ₹ supports valuation strength.

✔ Industry PE (41.4) lower than CDSL’s PE (55.5), showing premium valuation but sector strength.

Limitation

⚠ Price trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA.

⚠ Negative MACD (-14.3) confirms bearish momentum.

⚠ Quarterly PAT declined (68.8 Cr. vs 120 Cr.).

⚠ Institutional holdings decreased (FII -1.04%, DII -0.70%).

⚠ PEG ratio of 2.80 indicates expensive growth.

Company Negative News

⚠ Quarterly profit variation (-14.9%) highlights earnings weakness.

⚠ Decline in institutional holdings shows reduced investor confidence.

Company Positive News

✔ Strong efficiency metrics (ROCE, ROE) continue to support valuation premium.

✔ Dividend yield of 1.00% adds investor appeal.

Industry

🏦 Financial services sector remains robust with increasing demand for digital depository services.

📈 Industry PE (41.4) lower than CDSL’s PE (55.5), suggesting premium valuation relative to peers.

Conclusion

📌 CDSL is consolidating below key moving averages with weak short-term momentum. Entry near 1,200–1,220 ₹ offers favorable risk-reward, while exits near 1,280–1,300 ₹ are prudent unless momentum strengthens for a breakout toward 1,350 ₹. Long-term investors should monitor valuation premium and earnings growth sustainability.

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