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PAYTM - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 3.2

Last Updated Time : 28 May 26, 06:09 pm

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.2

Stock Code PAYTM Market Cap 72,195 Cr. Current Price 1,128 ₹ High / Low 1,382 ₹
Stock P/E 149 Book Value 205 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 3.80 %
ROE 3.72 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,125 ₹ DMA 200 1,124 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -2.35 % Chg in DII Hold 2.76 % PAT Qtr 98.0 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 145 Cr.
RSI 50.2 MACD 2.47 Volume 22,81,503 Avg Vol 1Wk 44,39,615
Low price 848 ₹ High price 1,382 ₹ PEG Ratio 4.76 Debt to equity 0.01
52w Index 52.4 % Qtr Profit Var 292 % EPS 1.05 ₹ Industry PE 25.3

📊 Optimal Buy Price (Intraday): ₹1,120–1,125 (near 50 DMA and 200 DMA support at ₹1,124–1,125)

🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: ₹1,160–1,180 (short-term resistance zone)

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹1,110–1,115 (below DMA support levels)

⏱️ Exit Strategy (If Already Holding): Exit if price fails to sustain above ₹1,115 with declining volume, or book profits if RSI weakens below 48–49. Extend trades only if breakout above ₹1,180–1,200 is confirmed with strong intraday volume.

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### Positive

- EPS turned positive (₹1.05), showing operational improvement.

- DII holding increased (+2.76%), reflecting domestic institutional confidence.

- Debt-to-equity at 0.01 indicates negligible leverage risk.

- MACD positive (2.47), supporting short-term bullish bias.

### Limitation

- Extremely high P/E (149) compared to industry average (25.3), indicating valuation risk.

- ROCE (3.80%) and ROE (3.72%) remain weak, showing limited efficiency.

- PAT declined sequentially (₹145 Cr. → ₹98 Cr.), reflecting earnings pressure.

- Volume (22.8 lakh) below weekly average (44.3 lakh), limiting intraday liquidity.

- PEG ratio (4.76) suggests poor growth-adjusted valuation.

### Company Negative News

- FII holding reduced (-2.35%), showing foreign investor caution.

- Sequential PAT decline highlights earnings volatility.

### Company Positive News

- Quarterly profit variation (+292%) indicates strong YoY earnings momentum.

- Price trading near both DMA 50 and DMA 200, reinforcing technical support.

### Industry

- Fintech sector remains volatile, driven by regulatory changes and competitive pressures.

- Industry PE at 25.3 highlights sector is moderately valued compared to PAYTM’s premium.

### Conclusion

PAYTM presents a speculative intraday trading setup with improving fundamentals but weak efficiency and high valuation risk. Best suited for disciplined trades between ₹1,120–1,180 with strict stop-loss at ₹1,115. Avoid aggressive positions unless breakout above ₹1,180–1,200 is confirmed with strong volume; valuation risks remain high.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking HTML overlay comparing PAYTM’s intraday setup against Zomato, PolicyBazaar, and Nykaa for sector-relative positioning?

Technical Analysis
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