GAIL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.3

📊 Analysis: GAIL shows weak-to-moderate intraday potential. Current price (₹170) is below both the 50 DMA (₹176) and 200 DMA (₹181), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 34.5 indicates oversold territory, which could trigger a technical bounce, but MACD (-3.27) confirms bearish momentum. Volume (39.1 lakh) is below the weekly average (55.0 lakh), reducing intraday strength. Despite strong fundamentals, recent profit decline weighs on sentiment.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹168–₹170 (near support zone).

🎯 Profit Exit Levels: ₹174 (first resistance), ₹178 (second resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹164 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above ₹170 with weak momentum or if volume continues to stay below average. Consider booking profits near ₹174–₹178 if momentum improves during the session.

Positive

• 📈 Strong ROCE (15.3%) and ROE (14.1%) highlight efficient capital use.
• 💵 Dividend yield (4.43%) provides attractive shareholder returns.
• 📊 Quarterly PAT growth from ₹1,886 Cr. to ₹2,217 Cr. shows earnings strength.
• 📉 Low debt-to-equity (0.26) ensures financial stability.

Limitation

• ⚠️ MACD negative (-3.27) indicates bearish short-term momentum.
• 📉 Quarterly profit variation (-17%) reflects earnings slowdown.
• 🔻 Volume below average reduces intraday trading strength.
• 🌍 FII holding decreased (-1.19%), showing foreign investor caution.
• 📊 PEG ratio (-4.76) highlights unsustainable growth prospects.

Company Negative News

• 📰 No major negative news reported, but profit slowdown and FII outflows weigh on sentiment.

Company Positive News

• 📰 Strong dividend yield and quarterly PAT growth support investor confidence.

Industry

• 🏭 Oil & Gas sector trading at PE 15.4, close to GAIL’s valuation (13.8).
• 📈 Industry demand supported by energy consumption growth and government infrastructure push.

Conclusion

⚖️ GAIL is fundamentally stable with strong ROCE, ROE, and dividend yield, but intraday signals are weak due to bearish momentum and low volume. Cautious entry near ₹168–₹170 with profit exits at ₹174–₹178 is possible, while maintaining a strict stop-loss at ₹164.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing GAIL with other PSU energy stocks, or should we focus on basket rotation signals for intraday workflow optimization?