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NEWGEN - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:17 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.7

Stock Code NEWGEN Market Cap 8,162 Cr. Current Price 573 ₹ High / Low 1,379 ₹
Stock P/E 26.6 Book Value 103 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.87 % ROCE 27.8 %
ROE 22.4 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 774 ₹ DMA 200 915 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.28 % Chg in DII Hold 0.10 % PAT Qtr 79.8 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 76.7 Cr.
RSI 15.3 MACD -70.2 Volume 2,58,947 Avg Vol 1Wk 4,89,067
Low price 570 ₹ High price 1,379 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.17 Debt to equity 0.03
52w Index 0.31 % Qtr Profit Var -4.72 % EPS 20.0 ₹ Industry PE 23.9

📊 Core Financials

  • Revenue & Profitability: Quarterly PAT declined slightly from 76.7 Cr. to 79.8 Cr. (-4.72% variation), showing modest earnings pressure. EPS at 20.0 ₹ reflects fair profitability.
  • Margins: ROCE at 27.8% and ROE at 22.4% highlight strong efficiency and shareholder returns.
  • Debt: Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 indicates negligible leverage, strengthening financial stability.
  • Cash Flow: Dividend yield of 0.87% provides modest shareholder returns.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 26.6 vs Industry PE of 23.9 → Slightly overvalued compared to peers.
  • P/B Ratio: Current Price (573 ₹) / Book Value (103 ₹) ≈ 5.6 → Premium valuation.
  • PEG Ratio: 1.17 → Fair, suggesting valuation is reasonable relative to growth.
  • Intrinsic Value: Current price trades above fair value, limiting near-term upside.

🏭 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Newgen Software operates in enterprise software solutions, focusing on digital transformation, automation, and workflow management.
  • Strong positioning in niche enterprise solutions provides competitive advantage.
  • Low debt and high return ratios strengthen long-term sustainability, though growth momentum has slowed.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Attractive accumulation range between 520 ₹ – 550 ₹, closer to support levels and below DMA 200.
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable for investors seeking exposure to enterprise software growth. Staggered buying recommended due to high volatility and stretched valuations.

✅ Positive

  • High ROCE (27.8%) and ROE (22.4%) highlight efficiency.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 ensures financial resilience.
  • DII holding increased by 0.10%, reflecting domestic institutional support.

⚠️ Limitation

  • P/E (26.6) and P/B (5.6) ratios indicate premium valuations.
  • Dividend yield of 0.87% is modest, limiting passive income appeal.
  • RSI at 15.3 and MACD at -70.2 suggest oversold conditions and weak momentum.

📉 Company Negative News

  • FII holding decreased by 0.28%, showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Quarterly PAT variation (-4.72%) indicates earnings pressure.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII inflows (+0.10%) highlight domestic institutional interest.
  • Strong ROCE and ROE metrics reinforce operational efficiency.
  • Debt-free operations enhance financial stability.

🌐 Industry

  • Enterprise software sector benefits from digital transformation and automation demand.
  • Industry PE at 23.9 suggests Newgen trades at a slight premium, reflecting growth expectations.

🔎 Conclusion

Newgen Software demonstrates strong fundamentals with high return ratios, negligible debt, and a niche focus in enterprise solutions. However, valuations are stretched and earnings momentum has slowed. Investors may consider entering around 520–550 ₹ for long-term holding, with staggered buying to manage volatility. The company remains strategically positioned in digital transformation but requires caution due to premium pricing and weak near-term momentum.

I can also outline technical support and resistance zones using RSI, MACD, and DMA data to complement this fundamental analysis if you’d like.

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