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WELSPUNLIV - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.2

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 10:19 am

Technical Rating: 3.2

Stock Code WELSPUNLIV Market Cap 11,845 Cr. Current Price 123 ₹ High / Low 155 ₹
Stock P/E 28.9 Book Value 42.2 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.38 % ROCE 13.8 %
ROE 13.2 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 128 ₹ DMA 200 131 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.06 % Chg in DII Hold 1.85 % PAT Qtr 148 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 76.0 Cr.
RSI 46.5 MACD -2.16 Volume 24,02,087 Avg Vol 1Wk 34,79,276
Low price 105 ₹ High price 155 ₹ PEG Ratio 3.35 Debt to equity 0.41
52w Index 37.1 % Qtr Profit Var -15.9 % EPS 4.27 ₹ Industry PE 17.6

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: WELSPUNLIV is trading below both its 50 DMA (128 ₹) and 200 DMA (131 ₹), indicating short-term weakness. Price action suggests consolidation between 120–131 ₹, with strong support at 120–123 ₹ and resistance near 131–138 ₹. Trendlines show sideways movement with bearish undertone.

📈 Moving Averages: Current price (123 ₹) is below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, signaling weakness. A sustained move above 131–138 ₹ is required for reversal confirmation.

📉 RSI: At 46.5, RSI is neutral-to-weak, suggesting limited momentum and possible consolidation.

📉 MACD: Negative at -2.16, confirming bearish momentum in the short term.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, indicating oversold conditions and potential support around 120–123 ₹.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (24,02,087) is below the 1-week average (34,79,276), showing weak participation and lack of strong buying interest.

🎯 Entry Zone: 120–123 ₹ (near support, risk-managed entry).

🎯 Exit Zone: 131–138 ₹ (resistance zone, profit booking advisable).

📌 Momentum Signal: Weak short-term momentum, consolidation phase with bearish undertone. A breakout above 138 ₹ is needed to confirm reversal toward 145–155 ₹.


Positive

  • ROCE (13.8%) and ROE (13.2%) show moderate efficiency.
  • Dividend yield of 1.38% provides investor returns.
  • FII (+0.06%) and DII (+1.85%) holdings increased, reflecting investor confidence.
  • EPS of 4.27 ₹ supports earnings visibility.

Limitation

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA shows technical weakness.
  • High PEG ratio (3.35) indicates expensive growth prospects.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41 shows moderate leverage risk.
  • Quarterly PAT variation (-15.9%) highlights margin pressure.

Company Negative News

  • Sequential PAT decline from 148 Cr. to 76 Cr. shows earnings pressure.

Company Positive News

  • Institutional support increased with higher FII and DII holdings.
  • Dividend yield provides steady investor returns.

Industry

  • Industry P/E at 17.6 indicates sector is cheaper compared to the company’s higher valuation (28.9).
  • 52-week index return of 37.1% shows healthy sector performance.

Conclusion

⚖️ WELSPUNLIV is consolidating near support with weak momentum and bearish undertones. Entry near 120–123 ₹ offers limited risk, while exits should be considered around 131–138 ₹ unless strong reversal occurs. Fundamentally steady but technically cautious in the near term, requiring close monitoring.

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