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VMM - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 09:02 pm

Technical Rating: 3.6

Stock Code VMM Market Cap 50,399 Cr. Current Price 108 ₹ High / Low 158 ₹
Stock P/E 84.4 Book Value 14.2 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 10.1 %
ROE 7.62 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 119 ₹ DMA 200 128 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.12 % Chg in DII Hold 0.05 % PAT Qtr 182 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 131 Cr.
RSI 41.4 MACD -4.81 Volume 2,02,76,567 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,16,72,364
Low price 96.3 ₹ High price 158 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.61 Debt to equity 0.02
52w Index 18.9 % Qtr Profit Var 40.1 % EPS 1.28 ₹ Industry PE 39.3

📊 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Price is below both 50 DMA (₹119) and 200 DMA (₹128), showing weakness.
  • RSI: At 41.4, near oversold territory, suggesting possible support but still bearish.
  • MACD: Negative (-4.81), confirming bearish momentum.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, indicating selling pressure.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (2.02 Cr.) slightly below 1-week average (2.16 Cr.), showing reduced participation.

📈 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-term Momentum: Weak, bearish bias.
  • Support Zone: ₹96 – ₹108 (recent low and current price).
  • Resistance Zone: ₹119 – ₹128 (DMA levels).
  • Optimal Entry: Around ₹96–₹108 if support holds.
  • Optimal Exit: Near ₹119–₹128 unless breakout occurs.
  • Trend Status: Reversing downward after failing to sustain higher levels.

✅ Positive

  • Quarterly PAT improved from ₹131 Cr. to ₹182 Cr. (+40.1%).
  • EPS at ₹1.28, showing earnings growth.
  • Low debt-to-equity (0.02), financially stable.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High P/E (84.4) compared to industry average (39.3).
  • PEG ratio of 2.61 indicates overvaluation.
  • ROCE (10.1%) and ROE (7.62%) relatively weak compared to peers.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA.
  • Weak efficiency metrics despite profit growth.

📈 Company Positive News

  • FII holding increased slightly (+0.12%), showing foreign investor confidence.
  • DII holding increased (+0.05%), showing domestic support.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 39.3, much lower than company’s 84.4, suggesting sector is cheaper.
  • Sector growth moderate with 18.9% index gain in 52 weeks.

🔎 Conclusion

VMM is showing bearish technical signals, trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA with weak RSI and negative MACD. Despite strong quarterly profit growth and low debt, valuations remain stretched and efficiency metrics are modest. Short-term traders should watch ₹96–₹108 as support and ₹119–₹128 as resistance. The stock is currently reversing downward, and sustained movement above ₹128 would be needed to signal recovery.

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