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VMM - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 10:19 am

Technical Rating: 3.4

Stock Code VMM Market Cap 58,188 Cr. Current Price 124 ₹ High / Low 158 ₹
Stock P/E 97.5 Book Value 14.2 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 10.1 %
ROE 7.62 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 131 ₹ DMA 200 132 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.12 % Chg in DII Hold 0.05 % PAT Qtr 182 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 131 Cr.
RSI 41.9 MACD -2.84 Volume 52,27,058 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,53,57,222
Low price 96.0 ₹ High price 158 ₹ PEG Ratio 3.01 Debt to equity 0.02
52w Index 46.1 % Qtr Profit Var 40.1 % EPS 1.28 ₹ Industry PE 39.1

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: VMM is trading below both its 50 DMA (131 ₹) and 200 DMA (132 ₹), indicating short-term weakness. Price action suggests consolidation between 120–132 ₹, with strong support at 120 ₹ and resistance near 132–138 ₹. Trendlines show sideways movement with bearish undertone.

📈 Moving Averages: Current price (124 ₹) is below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, signaling bearish momentum. A sustained move above 132 ₹ is required for reversal confirmation.

📉 RSI: At 41.9, RSI is in neutral-to-weak territory, suggesting limited momentum and possible consolidation.

📉 MACD: Negative at -2.84, confirming bearish momentum in the short term.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, indicating oversold conditions and potential support around 120–124 ₹.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (52,27,058) is significantly below the 1-week average (1,53,57,222), showing weak participation and lack of strong buying interest.

🎯 Entry Zone: 120–124 ₹ (near support, risk-managed entry).

🎯 Exit Zone: 132–138 ₹ (resistance zone, profit booking advisable).

📌 Momentum Signal: Weak short-term momentum, consolidation phase with bearish undertone. A breakout above 132–138 ₹ is needed to confirm reversal.


Positive

  • Quarterly PAT growth from 131 Cr. to 182 Cr. (+40.1%) shows strong earnings momentum.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.02) ensures financial stability.
  • FII (+0.12%) and DII (+0.05%) holdings increased, reflecting investor confidence.
  • 52-week index return of 46.1% highlights strong sector momentum.

Limitation

  • High P/E (97.5) compared to industry average (39.1) suggests overvaluation.
  • Weak ROCE (10.1%) and ROE (7.62%) highlight poor efficiency.
  • PEG ratio of 3.01 indicates expensive growth prospects.
  • Dividend yield is 0%, limiting investor returns.

Company Negative News

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA shows technical weakness.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit growth highlights operational improvement.
  • EPS of 1.28 ₹ reflects earnings expansion.

Industry

  • Industry P/E at 39.1 indicates sector is moderately valued compared to the company’s higher valuation.
  • Strong sector momentum with 52-week index return of 46.1% supports broader growth outlook.

Conclusion

⚖️ VMM is consolidating near support with weak momentum and bearish undertones. Entry near 120–124 ₹ offers limited risk, while exits should be considered around 132–138 ₹ unless strong reversal occurs. Fundamentally overvalued but showing earnings growth, making it a cautious technical play in the near term.

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