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SWANCORP - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.2

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 09:02 pm

Technical Rating: 3.2

Stock Code SWANCORP Market Cap 10,901 Cr. Current Price 347 ₹ High / Low 527 ₹
Stock P/E 587 Book Value 146 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.03 % ROCE 0.12 %
ROE 0.07 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 393 ₹ DMA 200 441 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.81 % Chg in DII Hold -0.08 % PAT Qtr 2.22 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 5.61 Cr.
RSI 38.0 MACD -18.6 Volume 16,62,355 Avg Vol 1Wk 12,14,564
Low price 326 ₹ High price 527 ₹ PEG Ratio -459 Debt to equity 0.08
52w Index 10.7 % Qtr Profit Var 41.4 % EPS 0.59 ₹ Industry PE 14.6

📊 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Stock has corrected sharply from highs of ₹527, currently stabilizing near ₹347 with support at ₹326–₹340 and resistance around ₹390–₹400.
  • Moving Averages: Price (₹347) below both 50 DMA (₹393) and 200 DMA (₹441), confirming bearish trend.
  • RSI: 38.0 — oversold zone, suggesting potential rebound.
  • MACD: -18.6 — bearish crossover, momentum negative.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, oversold condition may trigger short-term bounce.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (16.6 Lakh) above 1-week average (12.1 Lakh), showing increased selling pressure.

📈 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-term Momentum: Weak, with bearish bias but oversold signals hint at possible rebound.
  • Entry Zone: ₹326–₹347 (support region).
  • Exit Zone: ₹390–₹400 (resistance region).
  • Trend Status: Reversing from uptrend to bearish consolidation.

✅ Positive

  • FII holdings increased (+0.81%).
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.08), financially stable.
  • EPS at ₹0.59, showing profitability despite correction.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E ratio (587) compared to industry average (14.6), indicating unsustainable valuation.
  • PEG ratio negative (-459), showing poor earnings growth outlook.
  • Price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming bearish trend.
  • ROCE (0.12%) and ROE (0.07%) extremely weak.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Sequential PAT decline (₹2.22 Cr vs ₹5.61 Cr).
  • Weak 52-week performance (10.7%), underperforming peers.

📈 Company Positive News

  • FII participation increased, showing some institutional interest.
  • Low leverage ensures financial stability.

🏭 Industry

  • Sector PE at 14.6, showing moderate valuations compared to SWANCORP’s extremely high P/E.
  • Industry supported by cyclical demand but faces margin pressures.

🔎 Conclusion

  • SWANCORP is in a bearish phase, trading well below key moving averages.
  • Oversold RSI and Bollinger Band signals suggest potential rebound near ₹326–₹347.
  • Short-term traders can accumulate near support and exit around ₹390–₹400.
  • Long-term investors should be cautious due to unsustainable valuations and weak profitability metrics.

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