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SUMICHEM - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 09:02 pm

Technical Rating: 3.4

Stock Code SUMICHEM Market Cap 19,372 Cr. Current Price 388 ₹ High / Low 665 ₹
Stock P/E 35.7 Book Value 64.0 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.31 % ROCE 25.1 %
ROE 18.8 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 414 ₹ DMA 200 472 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.28 % Chg in DII Hold 0.18 % PAT Qtr 86.2 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 178 Cr.
RSI 41.4 MACD -8.52 Volume 4,51,458 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,37,915
Low price 367 ₹ High price 665 ₹ PEG Ratio 7.13 Debt to equity 0.02
52w Index 7.22 % Qtr Profit Var 2.27 % EPS 10.6 ₹ Industry PE 22.2

📊 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Stock trending downward from highs of ₹665, currently near support at ₹367–₹388. Resistance lies around ₹414 (50 DMA).
  • Moving Averages: Price (₹388) below both 50 DMA (₹414) and 200 DMA (₹472), indicating bearish trend.
  • RSI: 41.4 — approaching oversold zone, suggesting limited downside.
  • MACD: -8.52 — bearish crossover, confirming negative momentum.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, oversold condition may trigger short-term bounce.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (4.51 Lakh) above 1-week average (3.37 Lakh), showing increased selling pressure.

📈 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-term Momentum: Weak, with bearish bias but oversold signals hint at possible rebound.
  • Entry Zone: ₹370–₹385 (support region).
  • Exit Zone: ₹410–₹430 (resistance region).
  • Trend Status: Reversing from uptrend to bearish consolidation.

✅ Positive

  • Strong ROCE (25.1%) and ROE (18.8%) indicate efficient capital use.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.02), financially stable.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.18%).

⚠️ Limitation

  • Stock P/E (35.7) significantly higher than industry average (22.2).
  • PEG ratio at 7.13, showing expensive valuation relative to growth.
  • Price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming bearish trend.
  • FII holdings decreased (-0.28%).

📉 Company Negative News

  • Sequential PAT decline (₹86.2 Cr vs ₹178 Cr).
  • 52-week performance weak (7.22%), underperforming peers.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Strong efficiency metrics (ROCE 25.1%, ROE 18.8%).
  • Low leverage ensures financial stability.
  • EPS at ₹10.6, supported by consistent profitability.

🏭 Industry

  • Chemicals sector PE at 22.2, showing moderate valuations.
  • Industry supported by demand in agrochemicals and specialty chemicals.

🔎 Conclusion

  • SUMICHEM is in a bearish phase, trading below key moving averages.
  • Oversold RSI and Bollinger Band signals suggest potential rebound near ₹370–₹385.
  • Short-term traders can accumulate near support and exit around ₹410–₹430.
  • Long-term investors should be cautious due to high valuations and weak recent profit trend.

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