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SUMICHEM - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 03 May 26, 11:25 am

Technical Rating: 3.7

Stock Code SUMICHEM Market Cap 20,922 Cr. Current Price 419 ₹ High / Low 665 ₹
Stock P/E 38.6 Book Value 64.0 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.29 % ROCE 25.1 %
ROE 18.8 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 417 ₹ DMA 200 458 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.04 % Chg in DII Hold 0.33 % PAT Qtr 86.2 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 178 Cr.
RSI 49.5 MACD 9.84 Volume 2,35,425 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,59,452
Low price 363 ₹ High price 665 ₹ PEG Ratio 7.70 Debt to equity 0.02
52w Index 18.7 % Qtr Profit Var 2.27 % EPS 10.6 ₹ Industry PE 25.0

📈 Chart Patterns & Trend: SUMICHEM is consolidating near its 50 DMA (₹417) with current price at ₹419. The 200 DMA (₹458) acts as a higher resistance zone. Trend bias is neutral with mild bullish undertone, but momentum is weak due to recent profit decline.

📊 Indicators: RSI at 49.5 suggests neutral momentum. MACD positive at 9.84 indicates short-term bullish crossover. Bollinger Bands show price near mid-band, reflecting sideways consolidation.

🔎 Volume: Current volume (2.35 Lakh) is above average weekly volume (1.59 Lakh), showing active participation and accumulation interest.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹400–₹415 (near 50 DMA support)

🚪 Exit Zone: ₹455–₹470 (resistance near 200 DMA)


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (25.1%) and ROE (18.8%) indicate operational efficiency.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.02) ensures financial stability.
  • FII and DII holdings increased slightly, showing institutional support.
  • Stock trading above 50 DMA, signaling near-term strength.

Limitation

  • High P/E of 38.6 compared to industry average (25.0).
  • PEG ratio of 7.70 suggests overvaluation relative to growth.
  • Dividend yield is minimal at 0.29%.
  • Sequential PAT decline (₹178 Cr. → ₹86.2 Cr.) raises concerns.

Company Negative News

  • Sharp decline in quarterly profits limits near-term upside.
  • High valuation multiples may restrict growth if earnings do not accelerate.

Company Positive News

  • Strong efficiency metrics (ROCE, ROE) and low debt profile.
  • Institutional investors marginally increased holdings.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 25.0 is lower than SUMICHEM’s 38.6, highlighting premium valuation.
  • Sector outlook stable with demand recovery in specialty chemicals.

Conclusion

SUMICHEM is consolidating near support with mild bullish signals from MACD and volume. Entry near ₹400–₹415 offers favorable risk-reward, with exit around ₹455–₹470. Long-term fundamentals are strong, but high valuations and profit decline require cautious positioning.

Would you like me to also prepare a short-term intraday trading setup for SUMICHEM, with tighter entry/exit levels and momentum triggers, alongside this swing/investment view?

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