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SUMICHEM - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 10:05 am

Technical Rating: 3.4

Stock Code SUMICHEM Market Cap 20,865 Cr. Current Price 417 ₹ High / Low 665 ₹
Stock P/E 38.5 Book Value 64.0 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.29 % ROCE 25.1 %
ROE 18.8 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 450 ₹ DMA 200 497 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.28 % Chg in DII Hold 0.18 % PAT Qtr 86.2 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 178 Cr.
RSI 41.0 MACD -13.2 Volume 3,51,844 Avg Vol 1Wk 8,47,864
Low price 396 ₹ High price 665 ₹ PEG Ratio 7.68 Debt to equity 0.02
52w Index 7.83 % Qtr Profit Var 2.27 % EPS 10.6 ₹ Industry PE 27.7

📈 Chart Patterns & Trend: SUMICHEM is trading at 417 ₹, well below its 50 DMA (450 ₹) and 200 DMA (497 ₹), indicating a bearish bias. RSI at 41.0 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory but not yet deeply undervalued. MACD at -13.2 shows bearish momentum. Bollinger Bands indicate price is near the lower band, hinting at possible short-term support but overall weakness.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (3.5 lakh) is significantly lower than the 1-week average (8.4 lakh), showing declining participation and weak buying interest.

🎯 Momentum Signals:

- Price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA confirms short-term downtrend.

- RSI near 40 signals potential for a technical bounce but trend remains weak.

- MACD negative, reinforcing bearish sentiment.

💡 Entry Zone: 400–410 ₹ (near recent support).

🚪 Exit Zone: 445–455 ₹ (near 50 DMA resistance).

🔎 Overall Trend: The stock is reversing from highs and currently in a bearish phase. Consolidation may occur near 400 ₹, but sustained recovery requires crossing 450–455 ₹.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE of 25.1% and ROE of 18.8% indicate efficient capital use.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.02) shows financial stability.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.18%), reflecting domestic institutional support.

Limitation

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming weakness.
  • High P/E of 38.5 compared to industry PE of 27.7, suggesting overvaluation.
  • PEG ratio of 7.68 highlights poor growth-to-valuation balance.
  • Volume trends show declining investor interest.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT dropped sharply from 178 Cr. to 86.2 Cr.
  • FII holdings decreased (-0.28%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation shows slight improvement (+2.27%).
  • EPS of 10.6 ₹ supports long-term valuation despite short-term weakness.
  • Strong fundamentals with high ROCE and low debt.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 27.7 is lower than SUMICHEM’s PE, indicating premium valuation.
  • Chemical sector remains cyclical but supported by demand in agriculture and specialty chemicals.
  • Peers may offer better valuation, but SUMICHEM has strong fundamentals.

Conclusion

SUMICHEM is in a bearish phase, trading below key moving averages with weak momentum signals. Entry near 400–410 ₹ offers limited risk, while resistance lies at 445–455 ₹. The stock needs stronger volume and a break above 450 ₹ to confirm reversal. Long-term fundamentals remain strong, but short-term traders should be cautious until momentum improves.

Would you like me to also prepare a comparative technical snapshot of SUMICHEM vs SAIL vs SBIN so you can quickly see which stock offers the best short-term setup?

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