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RAILTEL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 09:02 pm

Technical Rating: 3.0

Stock Code RAILTEL Market Cap 9,054 Cr. Current Price 282 ₹ High / Low 479 ₹
Stock P/E 27.8 Book Value 65.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.01 % ROCE 21.8 %
ROE 16.5 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 316 ₹ DMA 200 348 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.14 % Chg in DII Hold 0.06 % PAT Qtr 68.7 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 87.4 Cr.
RSI 39.2 MACD -14.8 Volume 15,15,766 Avg Vol 1Wk 11,24,123
Low price 265 ₹ High price 479 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.23 Debt to equity 0.03
52w Index 7.80 % Qtr Profit Var 2.92 % EPS 9.91 ₹ Industry PE 18.8

📊 Chart Analysis: RAILTEL is trading below both its 50 DMA (316 ₹) and 200 DMA (348 ₹), indicating a bearish setup. RSI at 39.2 suggests the stock is nearing oversold territory, while MACD at -14.8 confirms negative momentum. Bollinger Bands show price leaning towards the lower band, reflecting weakness. Current volume (15,15,766) is higher than average (11,24,123), suggesting active selling pressure.

📈 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum remains weak. RSI near 35–40 could trigger a rebound, but MACD still signals bearish divergence.

💰 Entry Zone: 265 ₹ – 275 ₹ (near support levels).

📉 Exit Zone: 310 ₹ – 320 ₹ (resistance near 50 DMA).

🔎 Trend Status: The stock is consolidating with bearish bias, showing potential reversal only if price sustains above 316 ₹ with stronger volume.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (21.8%) and ROE (16.5%) indicate efficient capital usage.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 shows a nearly debt-free balance sheet.
  • Dividend yield of 1.01% provides modest income support.

Limitation

  • Stock P/E (27.8) is higher than industry PE (18.8), suggesting overvaluation.
  • Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, signaling weakness.
  • Quarterly PAT declined (68.7 Cr vs 87.4 Cr), showing earnings pressure.

Company Negative News

  • Stock corrected significantly from 52-week high (479 ₹ to 282 ₹).
  • Quarterly profit variation (+2.92%) is modest compared to prior performance.

Company Positive News

  • EPS at 9.91 ₹ reflects consistent profitability.
  • FII holdings increased (+0.14%) and DII holdings also rose (+0.06%), showing institutional support.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 18.8 indicates relatively cheaper valuations compared to RAILTEL’s higher P/E.
  • Sector outlook remains stable with telecom and digital infrastructure demand supporting growth.

Conclusion

⚠️ RAILTEL is currently in a bearish consolidation phase. Entry is favorable near 265–275 ₹ support with a strict stop-loss. Exit should be considered near 310–320 ₹ resistance. Long-term investors may wait for confirmation of reversal above 316 ₹ with stronger volume before adding positions.

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