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LEMONTREE - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 3.4

Stock Code LEMONTREE Market Cap 8,520 Cr. Current Price 108 ₹ High / Low 181 ₹
Stock P/E 73.8 Book Value 16.4 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 11.2 %
ROE 8.33 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 124 ₹ DMA 200 142 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.05 % Chg in DII Hold -0.26 % PAT Qtr 36.4 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 22.6 Cr.
RSI 36.4 MACD -6.24 Volume 47,01,148 Avg Vol 1Wk 65,90,168
Low price 99.6 ₹ High price 181 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.73 Debt to equity 0.28
52w Index 9.79 % Qtr Profit Var 27.8 % EPS 1.29 ₹ Industry PE 28.4

📊 Chart & Trend: Lemon Tree trades at ₹108, well below its 50 DMA (₹124) and 200 DMA (₹142). This indicates sustained weakness and a bearish trend in both short and medium terms.

📉 Momentum Indicators: RSI at 36.4 shows the stock is nearing oversold territory, hinting at possible support but no strong reversal yet. MACD at -6.24 confirms bearish momentum. Bollinger Bands suggest price is leaning toward the lower band, with support near ₹100.

📈 Volume Trends: Current volume (47 lakh) is lower than the 1-week average (65 lakh), reflecting reduced participation and lack of strong buying interest.

🔑 Entry Zone: ₹100–₹105 (near support and oversold RSI levels).

🚪 Exit Zone: ₹125–₹130 (near resistance and 50 DMA).

📌 Trend Status: The stock is in consolidation with bearish bias, showing weakness across moving averages but potential support emerging near ₹100.


Positive

  • Quarterly PAT improved sequentially (₹22.6 Cr → ₹36.4 Cr).
  • EPS at ₹1.29 shows earnings growth.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.28 indicates manageable leverage.
  • PEG ratio at 0.73 suggests valuation is aligned with growth prospects.

Limitation

  • High P/E of 73.8 compared to industry average of 28.4.
  • Weak ROCE (11.2%) and ROE (8.33%) show modest efficiency.
  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, signaling weakness.

Company Negative News

  • DII holdings decreased (-0.26%), showing reduced domestic institutional interest.
  • Stock underperforming with 52-week index at only 9.79%.

Company Positive News

  • Sequential PAT growth indicates improving profitability.
  • FII stake increased (+0.05%), showing foreign investor confidence.

Industry

  • Hospitality sector PE at 28.4, much lower than Lemon Tree’s valuation.
  • Sector rotation remains cautious, with valuations stretched in premium hospitality stocks.

Conclusion

⚖️ Lemon Tree is consolidating with bearish short-term signals, trading below key averages. Entry near ₹100–₹105 offers margin of safety, while exits around ₹125–₹130 provide profit-taking opportunities. High valuation and weak efficiency metrics limit upside, but sequential profit growth and manageable debt support long-term resilience.

Would you like me to prepare a peer benchmarking overlay with Indian Hotels, Chalet Hotels, and EIH so you can compare Lemon Tree against sector leaders for rotation clarity?

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