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JYOTICNC - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.2

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:51 am

Technical Rating: 3.2

Stock Code JYOTICNC Market Cap 18,139 Cr. Current Price 798 ₹ High / Low 1,331 ₹
Stock P/E 51.8 Book Value 97.3 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 21.5 %
ROE 16.6 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 913 ₹ DMA 200 975 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.21 % Chg in DII Hold 0.49 % PAT Qtr 78.9 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 72.1 Cr.
RSI 29.4 MACD -42.6 Volume 1,22,756 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,61,269
Low price 750 ₹ High price 1,331 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.33 Debt to equity 0.18
52w Index 8.18 % Qtr Profit Var 13.4 % EPS 15.4 ₹ Industry PE 29.2

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: The stock is trading at ₹798, significantly below its 50 DMA (₹913) and 200 DMA (₹975), reflecting a strong bearish trend. Price action is near the 52-week low of ₹750, suggesting oversold conditions and possible consolidation.

📈 Moving Averages: Both 50 DMA and 200 DMA are above the current price, confirming downward momentum. A recovery above ₹913 would be the first bullish signal.

📉 RSI: At 29.4, RSI is in oversold territory, indicating potential for a short-term rebound if buying emerges.

📉 MACD: Deeply negative at -42.6, showing strong bearish momentum. Trend remains weak until MACD narrows toward zero.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, suggesting limited downside and potential mean reversion toward ₹830–₹850.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (1.22 Lakh) is lower than average weekly volume (3.61 Lakh), showing reduced participation and lack of strong momentum.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹770–₹800 (near support and oversold RSI).

🎯 Exit Zone: ₹880–₹920 (near 50 DMA resistance).

📌 Trend Status: Bearish with signs of consolidation. A reversal may occur if RSI rebounds and price sustains above ₹850–₹880.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (21.5%) and ROE (16.6%) indicate efficient capital use.
  • PEG ratio of 0.33 suggests undervaluation relative to growth potential.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18 reflects financial stability.
  • Quarterly PAT improved to ₹78.9 Cr from ₹72.1 Cr, showing earnings growth.

Limitation

  • Stock P/E (51.8) is significantly higher than industry PE (29.2), indicating overvaluation.
  • Price trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA confirms weak momentum.
  • Low trading volume compared to average suggests lack of strong investor interest.

Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-0.21%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Dividend yield is 0%, offering no income return for investors.

Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+0.49%), reflecting domestic institutional support.
  • EPS at ₹15.4 remains strong compared to peers.
  • Quarterly profit growth (+13.4%) indicates improving fundamentals.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 29.2 is lower than the stock’s P/E, suggesting sector trades at more reasonable valuations.
  • Despite premium valuation, JYOTICNC shows strong growth potential with low PEG ratio.

Conclusion

⚖️ JYOTICNC is currently in a bearish phase, trading below key moving averages with weak momentum. However, oversold RSI and improving quarterly profits provide potential for a short-term rebound. Entry near ₹770–₹800 offers favorable risk-reward, while exits around ₹880–₹920 align with resistance. Sustained buying and a move above ₹913 would confirm reversal toward bullish momentum.

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