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JYOTICNC - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 3.6

Stock Code JYOTICNC Market Cap 17,379 Cr. Current Price 764 ₹ High / Low 1,331 ₹
Stock P/E 46.0 Book Value 97.3 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 21.5 %
ROE 16.6 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 831 ₹ DMA 200 929 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.21 % Chg in DII Hold 0.49 % PAT Qtr 105 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 78.9 Cr.
RSI 42.7 MACD -28.9 Volume 13,84,378 Avg Vol 1Wk 31,82,846
Low price 687 ₹ High price 1,331 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.29 Debt to equity 0.18
52w Index 12.0 % Qtr Profit Var 36.0 % EPS 16.6 ₹ Industry PE 28.0

📈 Chart & Trend: The stock is trading below both its 50 DMA (831 ₹) and 200 DMA (929 ₹), showing medium-term weakness. Current price (764 ₹) is closer to its 52-week low (687 ₹) than the high (1,331 ₹), reflecting bearish sentiment.

📊 Momentum Indicators: RSI at 42.7 indicates weak momentum, not yet oversold. MACD at -28.9 confirms bearish bias. Bollinger Bands suggest price leaning toward the lower band, consistent with consolidation under pressure.

🔎 Volume Trends: Current volume (13.8 lakh) is significantly lower than the 1-week average (31.8 lakh), showing reduced participation and lack of strong buying interest.

💡 Entry Zone: 740–760 ₹ (near support at 687 ₹, offering tactical entry)

💡 Exit Zone: 820–850 ₹ (resistance near 831 ₹, aligning with 50 DMA)

📌 Trend Status: The stock is consolidating with bearish undertones, not yet reversing.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (21.5%) and ROE (16.6%) indicate efficient capital use.
  • PEG ratio of 0.29 suggests growth is undervalued relative to earnings.
  • Low debt-to-equity (0.18) provides financial stability.
  • Quarterly PAT growth (78.9 Cr → 105 Cr) shows strong earnings momentum.

Limitation

  • High P/E (46.0) compared to industry P/E (28.0), making valuation expensive.
  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA indicates weak technical strength.
  • FII holding decreased (-0.21%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

Company Negative News

  • Stock has corrected sharply from 1,331 ₹ to 764 ₹, eroding investor wealth.
  • Weak technical signals (MACD negative, RSI below 50) suggest continued pressure.

Company Positive News

  • DII holding increased (+0.49%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • Strong quarterly profit growth (+36%) highlights operational improvement.

Industry

  • Industry P/E (28.0) is lower than company P/E (46.0), suggesting sector peers trade at more reasonable valuations.
  • 52-week industry index return of 12% shows moderate sector strength.

Conclusion

⚖️ Jyoti CNC is consolidating with bearish undertones, trading below key moving averages. Fundamentals like ROCE, ROE, and PEG are supportive, but valuation is stretched. Tactical strategy: accumulate near 740–760 ₹ with strict stop-loss below 687 ₹, and book profits around 820–850 ₹. Sustained recovery requires crossing 831–929 ₹ resistance zones.

Would you like me to extend this into a basket overlay with peer benchmarking against other capital goods/engineering stocks? That would highlight whether Jyoti CNC’s weakness is company-specific or sector-driven.

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