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JSWCEMENT - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 03 May 26, 11:24 am

Technical Rating: 3.4

Stock Code JSWCEMENT Market Cap 16,697 Cr. Current Price 122 ₹ High / Low 162 ₹
Stock P/E 42.2 Book Value 48.3 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 7.16 %
ROE 3.38 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 122 ₹ DMA 200 128 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.10 % Chg in DII Hold 0.65 % PAT Qtr 171 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 95.9 Cr.
RSI 48.4 MACD 1.15 Volume 8,28,330 Avg Vol 1Wk 10,01,655
Low price 107 ₹ High price 162 ₹ PEG Ratio -1.24 Debt to equity 0.56
52w Index 28.5 % Qtr Profit Var 6,400 % EPS -10.6 ₹ Industry PE 30.8

📊 Chart & Indicators

- Current price (₹122) is at DMA 50 (₹122) and below DMA 200 (₹128), showing weak momentum.

- RSI at 48.4 indicates neutral momentum, neither oversold nor overbought.

- MACD at 1.15 shows mild bullish crossover, but strength is limited.

- Bollinger Bands: price near mid-band, suggesting consolidation.

- Volume (8.28 Lakh) below average (10.0 Lakh), showing weak participation.

🎯 Entry & Exit Zones

- **Entry Zone:** ₹118 – ₹122 (support near DMA 50).

- **Exit Zone:** ₹128 – ₹132 (resistance at DMA 200).

- **Stop-Loss:** Below ₹115 (support breakdown risk).

📈 Trend Status

- The stock is **consolidating with mild bullish bias**.

- Sustaining above ₹128 with volume confirmation is required for trend reversal.

✅ Positive

- PAT surged from ₹95.9 Cr. to ₹171 Cr. (+6,400%).

- DII holdings increased (+0.65%), showing domestic support.

- Price near DMA 50 support zone.

- 52-week index gain of 28.5% highlights resilience.

⚠️ Limitation

- EPS negative (-₹10.6), weak profitability.

- ROCE (7.16%) and ROE (3.38%) remain modest.

- High P/E (42.2) compared to industry average (30.8), indicating overvaluation.

- Dividend yield at 0.00%, no income support for investors.

- Volume below average, showing weak conviction.

📉 Company Negative News

- Decline in foreign institutional holdings (-0.10%).

- Weak fundamentals with negative EPS and modest returns.

- Overvaluation relative to industry peers.

📈 Company Positive News

- Sharp PAT surge supports earnings momentum.

- Domestic institutional inflows provide support.

- Technical indicators (MACD, RSI near neutral) showing mild bullish bias.

🏭 Industry

- Industry PE at 30.8 vs JSWCEMENT PE at 42.2, indicating premium valuation.

- Cement sector supported by infrastructure demand but facing margin pressures from input costs.

🔎 Conclusion

JSWCEMENT is consolidating near support levels with mild bullish signals from MACD and RSI. Fundamentals remain weak with negative EPS and modest returns, though PAT growth and DII inflows provide some support. Entry near ₹118–₹122 is favorable for cautious traders, with exits around ₹128–₹132. Trend remains consolidative with limited conviction until price sustains above DMA 200 with stronger volume.

Would you like me to also prepare a swing trade overlay comparing JSWCEMENT with peers like Ultratech Cement and Shree Cement for sector benchmarking?

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