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JSWCEMENT - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.2

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 3.2

Stock Code JSWCEMENT Market Cap 16,182 Cr. Current Price 119 ₹ High / Low 162 ₹
Stock P/E 40.9 Book Value 48.3 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 7.16 %
ROE 3.38 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 121 ₹ DMA 200 130 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -1.10 % Chg in DII Hold 0.22 % PAT Qtr 171 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 95.9 Cr.
RSI 46.4 MACD -0.82 Volume 12,70,432 Avg Vol 1Wk 20,20,832
Low price 107 ₹ High price 162 ₹ PEG Ratio -1.21 Debt to equity 0.56
52w Index 21.7 % Qtr Profit Var 6,400 % EPS -10.6 ₹ Industry PE 28.2

📉 Chart & Trend: JSWCEMENT is trading below both its 50 DMA (₹121) and 200 DMA (₹130), with the current price at ₹119. This indicates short-term weakness and medium-term bearish consolidation.

📊 RSI: At 46.4, RSI is neutral-to-weak, suggesting limited momentum and indecision.

📉 MACD: Negative at -0.82, confirming mild bearish bias and consolidation.

📈 Bollinger Bands: Price is mid-to-lower range, reflecting weakness and potential downside risk if support breaks.

📊 Volume: Current volume (12.7 Lakh) is lower than average weekly volume (20.2 Lakh), showing reduced participation and weak buying interest.

📍 Support & Resistance:

- Strong support: ₹107

- Immediate resistance: ₹121 (50 DMA)

- Major resistance: ₹130 (200 DMA)

Optimal entry zone: ₹112–₹118 (near support).

Exit zone: ₹125–₹130 (resistance cluster).

🔎 Trend Status: The stock is consolidating with bearish bias. A reversal requires sustained close above ₹121–₹130.


Positive

  • Quarterly PAT growth (₹171 Cr vs ₹95.9 Cr) shows strong earnings momentum.
  • 52-week index performance at 21.7% reflects resilience despite correction.
  • DII holding increased by 0.22%, showing domestic institutional support.

Limitation

  • Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA signals weakness.
  • RSI and MACD confirm bearish momentum.
  • P/E of 40.9 compared to industry PE of 28.2 indicates overvaluation.
  • PEG ratio of -1.21 reflects poor earnings growth visibility.
  • ROCE (7.16%) and ROE (3.38%) are weak compared to sector peers.

Company Negative News

  • EPS at -₹10.6 reflects weak profitability.
  • FII holding decreased by -1.10%, showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation of 6,400% indicates strong turnaround momentum.
  • Improved PAT performance supports operational recovery.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 28.2 vs JSWCEMENT’s PE of 40.9 shows relative premium valuation.
  • Cement sector outlook remains positive with infrastructure demand and government spending support.

Conclusion

⚖️ JSWCEMENT is consolidating with bearish bias near support. Short-term traders may consider entry around ₹112–₹118 with exits near ₹125–₹130. Long-term investors should be cautious given weak ROE/ROCE and high valuation, waiting for confirmation above ₹121–₹130 before adding positions.

Would you like me to extend this into a cement sector basket overlay (JSWCEMENT vs peers like Ultratech, Shree Cement, ACC) so you can benchmark its setup against industry leaders for stronger confirmation signals?

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