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IGL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:51 am

Technical Rating: 3.4

Stock Code IGL Market Cap 24,424 Cr. Current Price 174 ₹ High / Low 229 ₹
Stock P/E 17.9 Book Value 70.0 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.44 % ROCE 20.8 %
ROE 15.7 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 188 ₹ DMA 200 201 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.21 % Chg in DII Hold 0.09 % PAT Qtr 373 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 356 Cr.
RSI 36.1 MACD -4.28 Volume 7,87,550 Avg Vol 1Wk 18,96,555
Low price 171 ₹ High price 229 ₹ PEG Ratio 5.31 Debt to equity 0.01
52w Index 5.46 % Qtr Profit Var -13.6 % EPS 9.74 ₹ Industry PE 19.8

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: IGL is in a bearish consolidation phase after correcting from its highs. Price is trading below both the 50 DMA (188 ₹) and 200 DMA (201 ₹), indicating short-term weakness and medium-term resistance. Strong support is visible near 171–175 ₹, while resistance lies around 185–190 ₹.

📉 Moving Averages: Both 50 DMA and 200 DMA are acting as resistance. Sustained move above 190–195 ₹ would confirm bullish reversal.

📉 RSI: At 36.1, RSI is weak, suggesting bearish momentum and oversold conditions.

📉 MACD: Negative (-4.28), showing bearish crossover and continued downside momentum.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, reflecting oversold conditions. A rebound toward 185–190 ₹ is possible if support holds.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (7.87 lakh) is lower than average weekly volume (18.9 lakh), showing reduced participation and lack of strong buying support.

🎯 Entry Zone: 171–175 ₹ (support zone).

🎯 Exit Zone: 185–195 ₹ (resistance zone).

🔑 Stop Loss: 168 ₹ (below recent support).


Positive

  • ROCE at 20.8% and ROE at 15.7% indicate strong efficiency.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.01 shows virtually debt-free balance sheet.
  • Dividend yield of 2.44% adds income stability.
  • EPS at 9.74 ₹ supports valuation strength.

Limitation

  • Price trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA confirms short-term weakness.
  • PEG ratio at 5.31 indicates poor growth-adjusted valuation.
  • Quarterly profit variation (-13.6%) reflects earnings pressure.
  • Weak volume participation limits momentum strength.

Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-0.21%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Stock corrected from 229 ₹ to 174 ₹, reflecting investor caution.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT improved from 356 Cr. to 373 Cr., showing operational growth despite volatility.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.09%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • Strong fundamentals with debt-free balance sheet and decent efficiency ratios.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 19.8 vs. stock PE at 17.9 highlights slight undervaluation relative to peers.
  • City gas distribution sector supported by government initiatives and rising demand for clean energy.

Conclusion

⚖️ IGL is in a bearish consolidation phase with weak signals (RSI low, MACD negative). Short-term bounce is possible from 171–175 ₹, but resistance near 185–195 ₹ limits upside. Medium-term outlook remains cautious due to earnings pressure and weak technicals, though strong fundamentals, dividend yield, and debt-free status provide resilience. Risk management is crucial for traders considering entry.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with other city gas distribution companies (like MGL, Gujarat Gas, and Adani Total Gas) to highlight relative strength and sector rotation opportunities?

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