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HEXT - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 2.8

Last Updated Time : 04 May 26, 11:57 am

Technical Rating: 2.8

Stock Code HEXT Market Cap 27,352 Cr. Current Price 448 ₹ High / Low 900 ₹
Stock P/E 32.1 Book Value 53.3 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.57 % ROCE 33.5 %
ROE 26.6 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 493 ₹ DMA 200 608 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -3.95 % Chg in DII Hold 3.73 % PAT Qtr 142 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 271 Cr.
RSI 42.3 MACD -5.20 Volume 2,15,119 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,25,432
Low price 400 ₹ High price 900 ₹ PEG Ratio 4.32 Debt to equity 0.13
52w Index 9.49 % Qtr Profit Var -27.7 % EPS 12.8 ₹ Industry PE 21.6

📉 Chart Patterns & Trend: HEXT is trading below both its 50 DMA (₹493) and 200 DMA (₹608), confirming a bearish structure. Current price (₹448) is near support at ₹400, suggesting weakness with limited upside unless a rebound occurs.

📊 Momentum Indicators: RSI at 42.3 indicates weak momentum, while MACD at -5.20 confirms bearish crossover. Bollinger Bands show price drifting near the lower band, signaling continued pressure.

📈 Volume Trends: Current volume (2.15 lakh) is slightly below average weekly volume (2.25 lakh), reflecting muted participation and lack of strong buying interest.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹430 – ₹450 (near support, potential accumulation zone).

🚪 Exit Zone: ₹490 – ₹510 (near 50 DMA resistance; profit-taking zone if rebound occurs).

🔎 Status: The stock is consolidating near support but remains in a broader downtrend. Sustained recovery requires price action above ₹608 (200 DMA).


Positive

  • Strong ROE (26.6%) and ROCE (33.5%) highlight operational efficiency.
  • Dividend yield of 2.57% provides steady income.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.13) ensures financial stability.

Limitation

  • High P/E (32.1) compared to industry average (21.6), limiting valuation comfort.
  • PEG ratio of 4.32 signals overvaluation relative to growth.
  • Technical weakness with price below both 50 & 200 DMA.
  • Quarterly profit decline (-27.7%) raises near-term concerns.

Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-3.95%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Quarterly PAT dropped from ₹271 Cr to ₹142 Cr.

Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+3.73%), reflecting domestic institutional support.
  • EPS at ₹12.8 remains stable.

Industry

  • IT/Tech services sector facing margin pressures due to global demand slowdown.
  • Industry PE at 21.6 highlights competitive valuation environment.

Conclusion

⚠️ HEXT is technically weak, trading below key moving averages with bearish momentum. Fundamentals remain strong, but valuations are stretched and profits have declined. Short-term traders may consider entry near ₹430–₹450 with exits around ₹490–₹510. Long-term investors should wait for confirmation above ₹608 before fresh accumulation.

Would you like me to extend this into a long-term investment overlay comparing HEXT with peers like Infosys, TCS, and Wipro to highlight relative valuation and profitability strength?

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