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FORCEMOT - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 04 May 26, 11:56 am

Technical Rating: 3.5

Stock Code FORCEMOT Market Cap 26,226 Cr. Current Price 19,904 ₹ High / Low 26,486 ₹
Stock P/E 24.8 Book Value 3,236 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.20 % ROCE 35.4 %
ROE 28.7 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 21,325 ₹ DMA 200 18,706 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.47 % Chg in DII Hold -0.05 % PAT Qtr 274 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 252 Cr.
RSI 40.9 MACD -307 Volume 2,79,496 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,81,347
Low price 8,892 ₹ High price 26,486 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.13 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 62.6 % Qtr Profit Var 57.4 % EPS 919 ₹ Industry PE 27.3

📈 Chart Patterns: Price is trading below the 50 DMA (21,325 ₹) but above the 200 DMA (18,706 ₹), showing short-term weakness but medium-term support. Trendlines suggest resistance near 20,500–21,000 ₹ and support around 19,700–19,800 ₹.

📊 Moving Averages: Current price (19,904 ₹) below 50 DMA indicates short-term bearishness, but above 200 DMA reflects longer-term strength.

📉 RSI: At 40.9, RSI is weak, suggesting oversold conditions and limited momentum.

📊 MACD: Negative at -307, confirming bearish crossover and short-term weakness.

📉 Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, indicating weakness but potential for rebound from oversold levels.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (2.79L) above 1-week average (1.81L), showing strong participation despite weakness.

🎯 Momentum Signals: Bearish in the short term. RSI and MACD confirm weakness, though volume suggests accumulation near support.

💹 Entry Zone: 19,700–19,800 ₹ (support levels).

💹 Exit Zone: 20,500–21,000 ₹ (resistance levels).

📌 Trend Status: Consolidating with bearish bias.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (35.4%) and ROE (28.7%) highlight excellent profitability.
  • EPS of 919 ₹ supports strong earnings visibility.
  • Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity ratio 0.00).
  • Quarterly PAT growth (274 Cr. vs 252 Cr.) shows operational improvement.
  • FII holdings increased (+0.47%), showing foreign investor confidence.

Limitation

  • Price below 50 DMA indicates short-term weakness.
  • Negative MACD (-307) confirms bearish momentum.
  • Dividend yield at 0.20% is modest.
  • Volume spike may reflect selling pressure rather than accumulation.

Company Negative News

  • DII holdings reduced (-0.05%), showing weaker domestic support.
  • Short-term technical weakness with RSI below 50 and MACD negative.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT growth (+57.4%) highlights operational strength.
  • FII support indicates foreign investor optimism.
  • Strong fundamentals with high ROE and ROCE.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 27.3 is slightly higher than FORCEMOT’s P/E (24.8), suggesting fair valuation.
  • Automobile sector supported by demand recovery and export growth.

Conclusion

⚖️ FORCEMOT is consolidating with bearish bias in the short term, reflected in negative MACD and weak RSI. Entry near 19,700–19,800 ₹ offers a favorable setup, with exits around 20,500–21,000 ₹. Strong fundamentals (ROE, ROCE, EPS, debt-free status) support long-term holding, but traders should exercise caution until price regains strength above the 50 DMA.

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