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FORCEMOT - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 28 May 26, 07:54 pm

Technical Rating: 3.4

Stock Code FORCEMOT Market Cap 26,168 Cr. Current Price 19,858 ₹ High / Low 26,486 ₹
Stock P/E 24.8 Book Value 3,236 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.20 % ROCE 35.4 %
ROE 28.7 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 20,576 ₹ DMA 200 18,899 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.47 % Chg in DII Hold -0.05 % PAT Qtr 274 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 252 Cr.
RSI 46.7 MACD -330 Volume 66,248 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,21,208
Low price 11,020 ₹ High price 26,486 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.13 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 57.1 % Qtr Profit Var 57.4 % EPS 919 ₹ Industry PE 28.6

Chart & Trend Analysis:

FORCEMOT is trading at ₹19,858, below its 50 DMA (₹20,576) but above its 200 DMA (₹18,899), reflecting short-term weakness but medium-term support. RSI at 46.7 indicates neutral-to-bearish momentum, while MACD at -330 shows strong bearish crossover. Bollinger Bands are moderately wide, suggesting consolidation with downside risk. Current volume (66K) is lower than the weekly average (1.21L), showing reduced participation.

Momentum Signals:

- RSI below 50 signals weak momentum.

- MACD strongly negative, confirming bearish bias.

- Resistance zones: ₹20,200–20,600 (near-term, 50 DMA), ₹21,000 (psychological).

- Support zones: ₹19,500 immediate, deeper support at ₹18,900 (200 DMA).

- Trend status: Consolidating with bearish bias; reversal possible only if price sustains above 20,600.

Entry Zone: ₹19,500–19,800 (risk-managed accumulation)

Exit Zone: ₹20,200–21,000 (profit booking zone)

Stop-Loss: Below ₹18,900


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (35.4%) and ROE (28.7%) highlight excellent capital efficiency.
  • Debt-free balance sheet ensures financial stability.
  • EPS at ₹919 supports valuation strength.
  • Quarterly PAT growth (+57.4%) shows operational improvement.

Limitation

  • Stock trading below 50 DMA indicates short-term weakness.
  • Volume participation below average, limiting momentum confirmation.
  • MACD strongly negative, signaling bearish trend continuation.

Company Negative News

  • DII holdings declined (-0.05%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.

Company Positive News

  • FII holdings increased (+0.47%), reflecting foreign investor confidence.
  • Quarterly PAT improved to ₹274 Cr from ₹252 Cr.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 28.6 is slightly higher than FORCEMOT’s P/E (24.8), suggesting fair valuation.
  • Automobile and commercial vehicle sector supported by infrastructure and industrial demand.

Conclusion

FORCEMOT is consolidating with bearish bias, trading below 50 DMA but above 200 DMA. Entry near ₹19,500–19,800 offers cautious accumulation, with exits around ₹20,200–21,000. Strong fundamentals (high ROE, ROCE, debt-free status) support long-term confidence, but short-term weakness and bearish MACD require disciplined monitoring.

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