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FORCEMOT - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:12 pm

Technical Rating: 3.7

Stock Code FORCEMOT Market Cap 25,318 Cr. Current Price 19,214 ₹ High / Low 22,000 ₹
Stock P/E 31.0 Book Value 2,720 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.21 % ROCE 29.3 %
ROE 20.2 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 18,961 ₹ DMA 200 16,131 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.19 % Chg in DII Hold 0.32 % PAT Qtr 350 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 185 Cr.
RSI 45.6 MACD 1.85 Volume 34,364 Avg Vol 1Wk 75,938
Low price 6,200 ₹ High price 22,000 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.28 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 82.4 % Qtr Profit Var 148 % EPS 815 ₹ Industry PE 30.8

📈 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Stock corrected from 22,000 ₹ highs and is consolidating near 19,214 ₹, showing resilience after a strong rally.
  • Moving Averages: Current price (19,214 ₹) is above both 50 DMA (18,961 ₹) and 200 DMA (16,131 ₹), confirming bullish trend continuation.
  • RSI: At 45.6, the stock is neutral, neither oversold nor overbought.
  • MACD: Positive (1.85), indicating bullish momentum persists.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price is near the mid-band, suggesting consolidation with potential for upward breakout.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (34,364) is lower than 1-week average (75,938), showing reduced participation in recent moves.

📊 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-Term Momentum: Neutral to bullish, supported by positive MACD and price above moving averages.
  • Support Zones: 18,900 ₹ (near-term), 18,000 ₹ (major support).
  • Resistance Zones: 20,000 ₹ (psychological resistance), 22,000 ₹ (recent high).
  • Entry Zone: 18,900–19,200 ₹ on dips.
  • Exit Zone: 20,000–22,000 ₹ on strength; strict stop-loss below 18,900 ₹.
  • Trend Status: Stock is trending upward with consolidation near highs.

✅ Positive

  • Quarterly PAT improved significantly (350 Cr. vs 185 Cr.), showing strong earnings growth.
  • Strong ROCE (29.3 %) and ROE (20.2 %) highlight excellent capital efficiency.
  • EPS at 815 ₹ supports robust earnings visibility.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.32 %) and FII holdings increased (+0.19 %), showing institutional confidence.
  • PEG ratio at 0.28 suggests attractive valuation relative to growth.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.00 indicates excellent financial stability.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Dividend yield at 0.21 % offers minimal income support.
  • Current price below recent high (22,000 ₹) indicates resistance pressure.
  • Volume participation has declined compared to weekly averages, signaling caution.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Stock faces resistance near 22,000 ₹, limiting immediate upside.
  • Low dividend yield may not attract income-focused investors.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variance (+148 %) highlights strong operational improvement.
  • Institutional support from both FII and DII increased, boosting confidence.
  • Strong fundamentals with high ROCE, ROE, and zero debt position the company well.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 30.8 is slightly lower than company PE (31.0), suggesting FORCEMOT is fairly valued relative to peers.
  • Automobile and commercial vehicle sector outlook remains positive with demand recovery and infrastructure growth.

🔎 Conclusion

  • FORCEMOT is in a bullish trend with consolidation near highs, supported by strong fundamentals and positive MACD.
  • Short-term traders may consider entry near 18,900–19,200 ₹ with exit around 20,000–22,000 ₹.
  • Long-term investors may hold due to strong ROCE/ROE, zero debt, and sector growth potential, though low dividend yield and reduced volume participation warrant caution.

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