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FIVESTAR - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 2.8

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:12 pm

Technical Rating: 2.8

Stock Code FIVESTAR Market Cap 12,960 Cr. Current Price 440 ₹ High / Low 850 ₹
Stock P/E 11.7 Book Value 231 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.44 % ROCE 16.3 %
ROE 18.6 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 535 ₹ DMA 200 604 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -2.85 % Chg in DII Hold 2.58 % PAT Qtr 277 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 286 Cr.
RSI 25.5 MACD -23.0 Volume 6,17,319 Avg Vol 1Wk 40,31,907
Low price 420 ₹ High price 850 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.35 Debt to equity 1.23
52w Index 4.54 % Qtr Profit Var 1.16 % EPS 37.6 ₹ Industry PE 19.0

📈 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Stock corrected sharply from 850 ₹ highs and is consolidating near 440 ₹, showing weakness with risk of further downside.
  • Moving Averages: Current price (440 ₹) is below both 50 DMA (535 ₹) and 200 DMA (604 ₹), confirming bearish trend.
  • RSI: At 25.5, the stock is oversold, suggesting potential for a technical rebound.
  • MACD: Negative (-23.0), indicating strong bearish momentum.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, signaling oversold conditions but risk of breakdown.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (6,17,319) is significantly lower than 1-week average (40,31,907), showing weak participation.

📊 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-Term Momentum: Weak, but oversold RSI could trigger a bounce.
  • Support Zones: 420 ₹ (near-term), 400 ₹ (major support).
  • Resistance Zones: 535 ₹ (50 DMA), 604 ₹ (200 DMA), 650 ₹ (trendline resistance).
  • Entry Zone: 420–440 ₹ if RSI stabilizes.
  • Exit Zone: 535–604 ₹ on rebound; strict stop-loss below 420 ₹.
  • Trend Status: Stock is bearish and consolidating near support levels.

✅ Positive

  • Strong ROCE (16.3 %) and ROE (18.6 %) highlight efficient capital use.
  • EPS at 37.6 ₹ supports earnings visibility.
  • Dividend yield at 0.44 % provides modest income support.
  • DII holdings increased (+2.58 %), showing strong domestic institutional support.
  • PEG ratio at 0.35 suggests reasonable valuation relative to growth.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA indicates weak technical strength.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 1.23 indicates moderate leverage.
  • Current price far below 52-week high (850 ₹), showing significant correction.
  • 52-week index performance at 4.54 % indicates underperformance compared to broader market.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT declined (277 Cr. vs 286 Cr.), showing earnings pressure.
  • FII holdings decreased (-2.85 %), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+2.58 %), showing strong domestic institutional support.
  • Quarterly profit variance (+1.16 %) highlights year-on-year improvement despite sequential decline.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 19.0 is higher than company PE (11.7), suggesting FIVESTAR is undervalued relative to peers.
  • Financial services sector outlook remains positive with demand for credit and lending growth.

🔎 Conclusion

  • FIVESTAR is in a bearish consolidation phase after sharp correction, with oversold RSI but weak MACD.
  • Short-term traders may consider entry near 420–440 ₹ with exit around 535–604 ₹.
  • Long-term investors may hold due to strong ROE/ROCE and undervaluation compared to industry, but should be cautious of declining profits, weak technical signals, and reduced FII confidence.

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